Toby Samuel - David Goffin: our prediction
20/05/2026•12:40
#88
Toby Samuel
2:1
5•7
6•3
6•3
Finished
#8
David Goffin
-
1
-
X
-
2
Toby Samuel vs David Goffin Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualification match between Toby Samuel and David Goffin. Goffin, favorite, has an 80% win rate as favorite but has lost at least one set in 90% of his matches as favorite. Samuel, underdog, has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches.
Our Toby Samuel vs David Goffin predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Goffin has played 60% of his Grand Slam matches in 3 sets. Samuel, as an underdog, has won at least one set in 80% of his matches, increasing the likelihood of a third set. Goffin's tendency to lose at least one set when favorite (90%) reinforces this probability.
2.28
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
Goffin tends to play tight matches in Grand Slams, with 60% of his matches going to 3 sets. Samuel, as an underdog, has won at least one set in 80% of his matches, suggesting the match could be competitive. The combination of these factors makes a total game count over 22.5 likely.
1.99
Confidence
High
Victory for David Goffin
David Goffin is the favorite with odds at 2.16. He has an 80% win rate when favorite and has won 60% of his Grand Slam matches in 3 sets. Toby Samuel, despite a good overall win rate (60%), is the underdog and has lost 40% of his matches. Goffin's experience on clay and in Grand Slams gives him a significant advantage.
2.15
Confidence
High
Market signals on Toby Samuel vs David Goffin
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Toby Samuel vs David Goffin Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 2 8 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 80% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 30% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 16% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 42% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 85% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 90% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 83% |
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