Rugby

Tennis

Hugo Gaston - Karen Khachanov: our prediction

19/05/2026•15:25

#62

Hugo Gaston

1:2

6•3

3•6

6•7

Finished

#11

Karen Khachanov

Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov Preview — Hamburg European Open

Hugo Gaston faces Karen Khachanov in the first round of the Hamburg European Open. Khachanov is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.20, while Gaston is the underdog at 4.48. The match is played on clay, Khachanov's preferred surface.

Our Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov predictions

Victory for Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov is the undisputed favorite with odds of 1.20. He has a 60% win rate as a favorite, and has won 100% of his matches when priced between 1.0 and 1.2. Hugo Gaston, as an underdog, has only a 20% win rate and has never beaten an opponent priced between 1.0 and 1.2.

1.2

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 games in the match

Given the high probability of a 2-set match (80% for both players) and the expected dominance of Khachanov, the total number of games should be under 22.5. A tight 2-set match could reach 24 games, but the trend is towards relatively quick sets.

1.58

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Both players have an 80% rate of matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams. Khachanov, as a favorite, finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets. Gaston, even as an underdog, has 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 3-set match is low.

1.38

Confidence

High

Market signals on Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Hugo Gaston	Karen Khachanov
Win \| Lose	4 6	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	70%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	66%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	33%	70%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	70%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	16%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	66%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%

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