Mary Stoiana - Matilde Jorge: our prediction
20/05/2026•13:40

#146

Mary Stoiana
2:0
6•4
6•4
Finished

#124

Matilde Jorge
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mary Stoiana vs Matilde Jorge Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA
Roland Garros qualifying match between Mary Stoiana and Matilde Jorge. Stoiana is the favorite with odds of 1.3, but her recent form is poor (30% wins). Jorge has a more balanced record (50% wins) and is very solid when favorite (100% wins). The match promises to be tight.
Our Mary Stoiana vs Matilde Jorge predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Stoiana has lost at least one set in 77.8% of her matches as favorite, and Jorge has won at least one set in 50% of her matches as outsider. The trend is towards a three-set match.
2.68
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Both players tend to play tight matches. Stoiana has 70% of her matches in 3 sets, but the total number of games often stays under 22.5. Jorge has 70% of her matches in 2 sets, reducing the total games.
1.57
Confidence
High (65 %)
Victory of Matilde Jorge
Jorge has a 50% win record, compared to Stoiana's 30%. She is also perfect as a favorite (100% wins) and has a good ratio as an outsider (30% wins). Stoiana is in poor form and could be vulnerable.
3.27
Confidence
Low (40 %)
Market signals on Mary Stoiana vs Matilde Jorge
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mary Stoiana vs Matilde Jorge Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 25% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 0% |
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