Felix Auger-Aliassime - Aleksandar Kovacevic: our prediction
20/05/2026•12:10
#5
Felix Auger-Aliassime
1:2
6•4
5•7
4•6
Finished
#31
Aleksandar Kovacevic
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1
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X
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2
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Preview — Hamburg European Open
Felix Auger-Aliassime, the favorite, faces Aleksandar Kovacevic in the first round of the Hamburg European Open. Auger-Aliassime is heavily favored with odds of 1.11, while Kovacevic is the underdog at 6.05. The match is played on clay, a surface where Auger-Aliassime is comfortable.
Our Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic predictions
Victory of Felix Auger-Aliassime
Auger-Aliassime is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.11. He has a 70% win rate when favored and has won 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Kovacevic, the underdog, has a 40% win rate as an underdog and has lost 50% of his matches as a favorite. The difference in level is significant.
1.11
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Under 2.5 sets in the match
This bet is consistent with the previous one (under 22.5 games). Auger-Aliassime wins 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Kovacevic, as an underdog, loses 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is therefore high.
1.33
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Auger-Aliassime wins 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, suggesting a quick match. Kovacevic, on the other hand, loses 60% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 3 sets, but as an underdog, he tends to lose in 2 sets (70% of his matches in 2 sets when he is an underdog). A 2-set match usually means fewer than 22.5 games.
1.61
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 55% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 44% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 90% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 37% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 75% |
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