Luka Pavlovic - Tomas Barrios: our prediction
20/05/2026•17:25
#228
Luka Pavlovic
2:1
6•2
6•7
6•2
Finished
#30
Tomas Barrios
-
1
-
X
-
2
Luka Pavlovic vs Tomas Barrios Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualification match between Luka Pavlovic and Tomas Barrios. Barrios is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.31, while Pavlovic is the outsider at 3.28. Both players have a 50% win rate in their last 10 matches, but Barrios shows better form as a favorite (70% wins).
Our Luka Pavlovic vs Tomas Barrios predictions
Victory of Tomas Barrios
Tomas Barrios is the logical favorite with odds of 1.31. He has a 70% win rate as a favorite in his last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Pavlovic. Additionally, Barrios has a better record as a favorite with odds between 1.21 and 1.5 (100% wins). Pavlovic as an outsider has only 50% wins. The clay surface and Grand Slam context also favor the more experienced player.
1.32
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Barrios, as a favorite, tends to win his matches in 2 sets (80% of his matches in 2 sets when favorite). Pavlovic as an outsider has 60% of his matches in 3 sets, but Barrios is dominant enough to impose a quick score. The odds of 1.31 for under 22.5 games are consistent with the probability of a match in 2 tight sets or 3 short sets.
1.67
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Barrios has 80% of his matches in 2 sets when favorite, suggesting a high probability of under 2.5 sets. However, Pavlovic has 60% of his matches in 3 sets overall, which could extend the match. The Grand Slam context (best of 3 sets) could also encourage Pavlovic to fight. Confidence is medium because Barrios could drop a set.
1.45
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Luka Pavlovic vs Tomas Barrios
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Luka Pavlovic vs Tomas Barrios Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 75% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 57% | 16% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 85% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 66% |
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