Mayar Sherif - Greet Minnen: our prediction

Statistics show that Sherif loses at least one set in 90% of her matches when she is the favorite. Additionally, 60% of her matches (excluding Grand Slams) ended in 3 sets. Minnen also has 30% of her matches in 3 sets. The trend is therefore towards a tight match that could go to a third set. The odds of 1.88 for over 2.5 sets are attractive.

Although the match could go to 3 sets, the total number of games could remain under 22.5. Both players tend to play tight sets but not necessarily very long ones. Sherif has 40% of her matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and Minnen 70%. If the match ends in 2 sets, the total games will likely be under 22.5. Even in 3 sets, scores like 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 would give 23 games, but tighter scores (6-4, 6-4) would give 20 games. The probability is balanced.

Mayar Sherif is slightly favored with odds of 1.83. Her overall win rate is 50%, and she has a good record as a favorite in this odds range (57.14% wins between 1.51 and 1.8). However, she often loses at least one set (90%), making the match uncertain. Greet Minnen has a 40% win rate but has performed well as a favorite (60%). The surface (clay) could favor Sherif, a clay specialist.