Iva Jovic - Naomi Osaka: our prediction

As mentioned, both players have a high percentage of matches ending in 2 sets (Osaka 70%, Jovic 60% excluding Grand Slams). In Grand Slams, Osaka has 40% of her matches in 3 sets, but Jovic has none. The trend is therefore towards a 2-set match, which corresponds to under 2.5 sets.

Statistics show a trend towards short matches for both players. Osaka has 70% of her matches (excluding Grand Slams) finished in 2 sets, and Jovic 60%. Additionally, as a favorite, Osaka finishes 60% of her matches in 2 sets, and Jovic 80%. With Osaka as the favorite and both players having a history of quick matches, it is likely that the total number of games stays under 22.5.

Naomi Osaka is the favorite with odds at 1.83. She has an overall win rate of 60% in her last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Jovic. Most importantly, Osaka has won 80% of her matches as a favorite, a solid figure. Jovic, on the other hand, has only won 60% of her matches as a favorite. Osaka's experience on big courts and her ability to perform in Grand Slams tilt the balance in her favor.