Michael Mmoh - Justin Boulais: our prediction

Michael Mmoh is the logical favorite with odds of 1.25. He has won 80% of his matches as a favorite in the last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Boulais. Additionally, Mmoh has an 83.33% win rate when his odds are between 1.21 and 1.5, which matches the current odds. Boulais, as an underdog, has only won 20% of his matches. The surface and context of the Little Rock tournament should favor Mmoh.

With a high probability that the match will end in 2 sets (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games should be under 22.5. On average, a tight 2-set match can reach 20-22 games, but with Mmoh's expected dominance, it is likely that the total will stay under 22.5 games. Mmoh as a favorite tends to win quickly, and Boulais struggles to compete.

The match is best of 2 sets (non-Grand Slam). Mmoh has finished 60% of his matches in 2 sets, and Boulais 80%. As a favorite, Mmoh has 50% of his matches in 2 sets, while Boulais as a favorite has 90% of his matches in 2 sets. Given that Mmoh is the favorite and Boulais tends to lose quickly in 2 sets, it is likely that the match will end in under 2.5 sets.