Ajla Tomljanovic - Katie Swan: our prediction

Both players have a strong tendency to play 3-set matches outside of Grand Slams. Tomljanovic has 50% of her matches in 3 sets, Swan 60%. Furthermore, as a favorite, Tomljanovic often loses a set (60% of her matches in 3 sets as a favorite). The match should be competitive.

Tomljanovic is the favorite and has a better ranking and more experience than Swan. Although her recent form is mediocre, she remains the more talented player. Swan has a very low win rate (10%) and lacks the weapons to trouble Tomljanovic on a fast surface like Birmingham. Tomljanovic's victory is the most likely scenario.

Although the match could go to 3 sets, statistics show that the matches of these players are not particularly long in terms of games. Tomljanovic tends to lose sets quickly when she is the favorite, and Swan does not have a great ability to prolong rallies. A total of games under 22.5 is plausible.