Alexander Maarten Jong - Shintaro Mochizuki: our prediction
06/06/2026•14:20

#176

Alexander Maarten Jong
2:1
4•6
6•3
6•4
Finished

#33

Shintaro Mochizuki
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1
-
X
-
2
Alexander Maarten Jong vs Shintaro Mochizuki Preview — Libema Open, Qualification
Libema Open qualification match between Alexander Maarten Jong and Shintaro Mochizuki. Jong has a low win rate (16.7%) and often loses as an underdog. Mochizuki has a 20% win rate but frequently loses a set when favored (90%). The match is played on grass.
Our Alexander Maarten Jong vs Shintaro Mochizuki predictions
Victory for Shintaro Mochizuki
Mochizuki has a better overall record and has won 2 matches as a favorite, while Jong has an 83.3% loss rate and has won only 1 out of 6 matches. Mochizuki is the favorite and should prevail.
1.32
Confidence
High (65 %)
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Mochizuki tends to lose a set when favored (90% of his matches as a favorite went to 3 sets). Jong, as an underdog, has won at least one set in 33.3% of his matches. The match should therefore go beyond 2 sets.
2.45
Confidence
High (65 %)
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of the match going to 3 sets, the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Mochizuki often has tight matches in 3 sets, increasing the game count.
2.05
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Alexander Maarten Jong vs Shintaro Mochizuki
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Alexander Maarten Jong vs Shintaro Mochizuki Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 1 5 | 2 8 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 20% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 16% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 25% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 90% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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