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Tatjana Maria - Yuriko Miyazaki: our prediction

07/06/2026•14:30

#45

Tatjana Maria

2:1

6•2

1•6

6•2

Finished

#92

Yuriko Miyazaki

Tatjana Maria vs Yuriko Miyazaki Preview — HSBC Championships, Qualification

Qualification match for the HSBC Championships between Tatjana Maria and Yuriko Miyazaki. Maria has a 40% win rate in her last 10 matches, while Miyazaki has 30%. Maria has won 100% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, while Miyazaki has only won 40% in 2 sets. The match is played on an unspecified surface, but statistics suggest an advantage for Maria.

Our Tatjana Maria vs Yuriko Miyazaki predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Maria wins 100% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, indicating a high probability of the match ending in 2 sets. Miyazaki, although often playing in 3 sets (60%), should be dominated by Maria, limiting the match to 2 sets.

1.33

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Maria wins 100% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, suggesting short matches. Miyazaki tends to play longer matches (60% in 3 sets outside Grand Slams), but given Maria's dominance in 2 sets, the total number of games should stay under 22.5.

1.35

Confidence

High

Victory for Tatjana Maria

Tatjana Maria has a better overall win rate (40% vs 30%) and a tendency to win her matches in 2 sets (100% outside Grand Slams). Although Miyazaki has a higher win rate as a favorite (60%), Maria has a 70% win rate as a favorite. Maria seems more solid and should win.

1.2

Confidence

High

Market signals on Tatjana Maria vs Yuriko Miyazaki

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Tatjana Maria vs Yuriko Miyazaki Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Tatjana Maria	Yuriko Miyazaki
Win \| Lose	4 6	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	10%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	42%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	57%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	60%

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