Rugby

Tennis

Heather Watson - Beatriz Haddad Maia: our prediction

07/06/2026•13:05

#49

Heather Watson

2:0

7•5

6•0

Finished

#17

Beatriz Haddad Maia

Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Maia Preview — HSBC Championships, Qualification

Qualification match for the HSBC Championships between Heather Watson and Beatriz Haddad Maia. Watson has a 40% win rate in her last 10 matches, while Haddad Maia is at 30%. Both players tend to play matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams, with 80% for Watson and 90% for Haddad Maia. No injury information.

Our Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Maia predictions

Under 2.5 sets

Watson and Haddad Maia have a high percentage of matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams (80% and 90% respectively). This qualification match is not a Grand Slam, so the probability of it ending in 2 sets is very high.

1.5

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 games

Given the high probability that the match will end in 2 sets (very high), the total number of games will likely be under 22.5. Both players tend to play tight but short matches.

1.67

Confidence

High

Heather Watson wins

Watson has a 40% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 30% for Haddad Maia. However, Watson has a 50% win rate as an underdog, which is high. Haddad Maia has a 40% win rate as a favorite, but has lost 60% of her matches as a favorite. Watson could cause an upset.

2.2

Confidence

Low

Market signals on Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Maia

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Maia Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Heather Watson	Beatriz Haddad Maia
Win \| Lose	4 6	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	75%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	40%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	60%