Rugby

Tennis

Mert Alkaya - Pierre-Hugues Herbert: our prediction

07/06/2026•13:10

#287

Mert Alkaya

0:2

6•7

4•6

Finished

#31

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Mert Alkaya vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert Preview — Stuttgart Open, Qualification

Stuttgart Open qualification match between Mert Alkaya and Pierre-Hugues Herbert. Herbert is favored with odds of 1.28, while Alkaya is the underdog at 3.44. Statistics show Alkaya has a 50% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to Herbert's 40%. However, Herbert has a better win rate as a favorite (70% vs Alkaya's 75%). The match is played outdoors on grass.

Our Mert Alkaya vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert predictions

Victory for Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Pierre-Hugues Herbert is the logical favorite with odds of 1.28. He has a 70% win rate when favored, and his experience on grass (Stuttgart Open surface) is an asset. Mert Alkaya, despite a 50% overall win rate, has a low win rate as an underdog (40%) and has never beaten a player in the 1.0-1.2 odds range. Herbert should prevail.

1.26

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 2.5 sets in the match

This bet is consistent with the previous one (under 22.5 games). As explained, both players have a high percentage of matches ending in 2 sets outside Grand Slams (Herbert 60%, Alkaya 70%). In qualification, it is very likely the match ends in 2 sets, hence under 2.5 sets.

1.49

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Under 22.5 games in the match

Statistics show Herbert finishes 60% of his matches (outside Grand Slams) in 2 sets, and Alkaya 70%. As this is a qualification match (not a Grand Slam), there is a high probability it ends in straight sets, which usually implies under 22.5 games. Additionally, Herbert is favored and should dominate.

1.91

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Mert Alkaya vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Mert Alkaya vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Mert Alkaya	Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Win \| Lose	5 5	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	60%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	75%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	66%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	75%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	57%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	71%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	33%