Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim Ii — Prediction
04/04/2026
Erzgebirge Aue
14:00
Tomorrow
Hoffenheim II
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Erzgebirge Aue hosts Hoffenheim II in a 3. Liga match. Aue, the bookmakers' favorite, shows worrying form with 0 wins in their last 10 matches. Hoffenheim II, although less favored, has won 1 time in the same period. Statistics show a strong trend towards goals: 80% of both teams' matches saw both teams score, and over 2.5 goals is frequent (90% for Aue, 80% for Hoffenheim II).
Our predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Erzgebirge Aue has seen both teams score in 80% of cases (8/10). Hoffenheim II has an identical rate of 80% (8/10). The defenses are permeable: Aue kept a clean sheet only once, Hoffenheim II 0 times. Hoffenheim II's attack, with Deniz Zeitler (7 goals in 10 matches), is effective. Aue's poor home form (0 wins in 10) and the visitors' offensive capability support this scenario.
1.45
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
The statistics of the last 10 matches are telling: 90% of Erzgebirge Aue's matches exceeded 2.5 goals (9/10), and 80% of Hoffenheim II's matches (8/10). Aue has a weak defense (8 defeats in 10) but scores regularly (at least 1 goal in 9/10 matches). Hoffenheim II, with an in-form striker (Deniz Zeitler), contributes to a high total of goals. The historical trend and analysis of recent performances converge towards a match with over 2 goals.
1.48
Confidence
High
Under 1.5 goals for Erzgebirge Aue
In its last 10 matches, Erzgebirge Aue has scored less than 1.5 goals (i.e., 0 or 1 goal) in 80% of cases (8/10). Aue's attack is not very prolific: its top scorer in the period, Marcel Baer, scored in only 40% of matches. Facing a Hoffenheim II team that, despite its defensive weaknesses, can be organized away from home (1 win, 1 draw in 10), Aue is likely to struggle to score more than one goal. This bet is compatible with 'Both teams to score' and 'Over 2.5 goals' if Hoffenheim II scores at least 2 goals.
1.57
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | 2 8 | 1 1 8 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 29% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 14% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 100% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 80% 20% | 80% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcel Baer | 40% (4/10) | 70% (7/10) | Deniz Zeitler |
| Jannic Ehlers | 20% (2/10) | 50% (2/4) | Luka Djuric |
| Jonah Fabisch | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Yannis Hoer |
| Marvin Stefaniak | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Oskar Hencke |
| Ryan Malone | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Florian Micheler |
| Julian Guenther-Schmidt | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcel Baer | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | Deniz Zeitler |
| Jannic Ehlers | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Luka Djuric |
| Ryan Malone | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Florian Micheler |
| Marvin Stefaniak | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Oskar Hencke |
| Jonah Fabisch | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Yannis Hoer |
| Julian Guenther-Schmidt | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 30% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 100% |
1.5 | 80% | 80% |
2.5 | 40% | 60% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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