Uganda - Mali: our prediction

Mali is the overwhelming favorite (odds 1.05). Historical statistics show clear superiority: Uganda has lost 90% of its last 10 games, while Mali has won 60% of its games (3 wins out of 5). No information on major injuries alters this assessment. The value is low, but the probability of success is very high.

Uganda, struggling offensively and defensively (90% losses), is likely to limit the total score. Mali, although favored, may manage its lead without forcing the attack. The threshold of 155.5 points is relatively high for an African qualification match. The lack of data on a high pace supports an under scenario.