Canada - Mexico: our prediction
21/03/2025•03:30
Canada
0:2
(0:1)
Finished
Mexico
-
1
-
X
-
2
Canada vs Mexico Preview — CONCACAF Nations League A Championship Playoff
Mexico, favorite (odds 2.41), displays solid defense with 7 clean sheets in 10 matches. Canada, at home, shows promising attack but vulnerable defense. Low probability of both teams scoring.
Our Canada vs Mexico predictions
Mexico Win + Clean Sheet
Mexico kept 7 clean sheets in last 10 matches. Organized defense (1.3 goals conceded/match) and efficient attack (5 wins as favorite). No key absences reported.
3.5
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Goals
80% of Mexico's recent matches had under 2.5 goals. Canada exceeded 1 goal in only 30% of recent games. Limited offensive stats from both sides.
1.52
Confidence
Moderate
Both Teams Not to Score
Mexico conceded only 1 goal per game on average. Canada failed to score in 50% of recent matches. Low BTTS history (40% Canada, 0% Mexico).
3
Confidence
Moderate
Canada +1.5 Handicap
Canada lost by 2+ goals in only 20% of recent matches. Solid Mexican defense but limited away attack (1.2 goals/match). No major injuries reported.
1.57
Confidence
Average
Market signals on Canada vs Mexico
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Canada vs Mexico Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 4 1 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 83% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan David | 75% (3/4) | 25% (2/8) | German Berterame |
| Derek Cornelius | 50% (2/4) | 33% (2/6) | Brian Gutierrez |
| Promise David | 67% (2/3) | 14% (1/7) | Jorge Sanchez |
| Nathan Saliba | 25% (1/4) | 13% (1/8) | Armando Gonzalez |
| Daniel Jebbison | 50% (1/2) | 10% (1/10) | Jesus Gallardo |
| Ali Ahmed | 33% (1/3) | 25% (1/4) | Guillermo Martinez |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 100% (1/1) | 25% (1/4) | Raul Jimenez |
| Niko Sigur | 25% (1/4) | 25% (1/4) | Richard Ledezma |
| Ismael Kone | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Mathieu Choiniere | 25% (1/4) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan David | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | German Berterame |
| Derek Cornelius | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Brian Gutierrez |
| Promise David | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Raul Jimenez |
| Daniel Jebbison | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Armando Gonzalez |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Guillermo Martinez |
| Nathan Saliba | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Richard Ledezma |
| Niko Sigur | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jesus Gallardo |
| Mathieu Choiniere | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jorge Sanchez |
| Ali Ahmed | ⚽1 | ||
| Ismael Kone | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 78% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 67% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 44% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 44% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 33% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 22% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 11% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 60% | 30% |
1.5 | 40% | 20% |
2.5 | 30% | 10% |
3.5 | 30% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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