Gibraltar - Latvia: our prediction

Both teams have ineffective attacks. Gibraltar has scored only 3 times in its last 10 matches and never more than one goal. Latvia has scored in 4 of its last 10 matches, but rarely prolifically (only 2 matches with more than 1 goal scored). Statistically, in Gibraltar's last 10 matches, 7 have seen over 2.5 goals, but this is due to its very weak defence conceding a lot. However, Latvia's weak attack (4 matches with over 2.5 goals out of 10) and the context (often cautious qualification match) lean towards a low-scoring match. The 'Under 2.5' bet is consistent with a narrow Latvian win (e.g., 0-1, 0-2).

Latvia is clearly the favourite. In the last 10 matches, Gibraltar has lost 10 times, while Latvia has won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5. Latvia has kept a clean sheet 3 times out of 10, compared to 0 for Gibraltar. The Latvian attack is modest, but against a very weak Gibraltar defence (0 clean sheets, 10 defeats), a Latvian win is the most likely scenario. No known major absences disrupt this dynamic.