Gibraltar - Latvia: our prediction
26/03/2026•18:00
Gibraltar
0:1
(0:0)
Finished
Latvia
-
1
-
X
-
2
Gibraltar vs Latvia Preview — UEFA Nations League C Qualification
Gibraltar, one of Europe's weakest teams, hosts Latvia, who are slightly superior. Recent statistics show clear Latvian dominance, with Gibraltar racking up defeats and struggling to score. Latvia, although not prolific, should win thanks to their defensive solidity and the gap in quality.
Our Gibraltar vs Latvia predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Both teams have ineffective attacks. Gibraltar has scored only 3 times in its last 10 matches and never more than one goal. Latvia has scored in 4 of its last 10 matches, but rarely prolifically (only 2 matches with more than 1 goal scored). Statistically, in Gibraltar's last 10 matches, 7 have seen over 2.5 goals, but this is due to its very weak defence conceding a lot. However, Latvia's weak attack (4 matches with over 2.5 goals out of 10) and the context (often cautious qualification match) lean towards a low-scoring match. The 'Under 2.5' bet is consistent with a narrow Latvian win (e.g., 0-1, 0-2).
1.62
Confidence
High
Latvia Win
Latvia is clearly the favourite. In the last 10 matches, Gibraltar has lost 10 times, while Latvia has won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5. Latvia has kept a clean sheet 3 times out of 10, compared to 0 for Gibraltar. The Latvian attack is modest, but against a very weak Gibraltar defence (0 clean sheets, 10 defeats), a Latvian win is the most likely scenario. No known major absences disrupt this dynamic.
1.45
Confidence
High
Market signals on Gibraltar vs Latvia
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Gibraltar vs Latvia Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 10 | 1 4 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 29% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 100% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 30% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 40% |
2nd half | 70% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Jessop | 13% (1/8) | 30% (3/10) | Vladislavs Gutkovskis |
| James Scanlon | 10% (1/10) | 25% (2/8) | Antonijs Cernomordijs |
10% (1/10) | Dmitrijs Zelenkovs |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| James Scanlon | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Vladislavs Gutkovskis |
| Liam Jessop | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Antonijs Cernomordijs |
⚽1 | Dmitrijs Zelenkovs |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 4.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 50% | 60% |
1.5 | 40% | 50% |
2.5 | 20% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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