Netherlands - Spain: our prediction
20/03/2025•20:45
Netherlands
2:2
(1:1)
Finished
Spain
-
1
-
X
-
2
Netherlands vs Spain Preview — UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff
Balanced clash between Netherlands at home and favored Spain. Recent stats show efficient Spanish attack (8 wins/10) and vulnerable Dutch defense (80% matches with goals conceded). Both teams scored in 70% of their recent games.
Our Netherlands vs Spain predictions
Spain Victory
Spain won 80% of last 10 matches as favorite. Organized attack with Dani Olmo (3 goals/7 games) and solid defense (3 clean sheets/10). Netherlands kept only 2 clean sheets in 10 games.
2.25
Confidence
High
Spain Concedes
Spain kept clean sheets in only 30% of last 10 games. Competitive Dutch attack with Gakpo and Simons. 80% of Netherlands' home games saw goals scored.
1.5
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
70% of last 10 games for both teams saw goals from both sides. Varied Dutch attack (Gakpo: 4 goals/10) and Spanish counter efficiency (Williams: 2 goals/8). Unreliable defenses on both ends.
1.65
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals
7/10 recent games for both teams exceeded 2.5 goals. Average 2.8 goals/game for Spain and 2.4 for Netherlands. Leaky defenses with only 3 combined clean sheets in 20 matches.
1.8
Confidence
High
Market signals on Netherlands vs Spain
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Netherlands vs Spain Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 8 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 88% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 70% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Depay | 75% (6/8) | 70% (7/10) | Mikel Oyarzabal |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 30% (3/10) | 50% (4/8) | Mikel Merino |
| Donyell Malen | 30% (3/10) | 22% (2/9) | Martin Zubimendi |
| Cody Gakpo | 30% (3/10) | 29% (2/7) | Ferran Torres |
| Virgil van Dijk | 30% (3/10) | 13% (1/8) | Dani Olmo |
| Xavi Simons | 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) | Alejandro Baena |
| Denzel Dumfries | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Marc Cucurella |
| Quinten Timber | 17% (1/6) | 13% (1/8) | Yeremy Pino |
| Noa Lang | 13% (1/8) | 50% (1/2) | Isco |
| Micky van de Ven | 10% (1/10) | 50% (1/2) | Victor Munoz |
13% (1/8) | Pedri |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Depay | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | Mikel Oyarzabal |
| Cody Gakpo | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | Mikel Merino |
| Donyell Malen | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Martin Zubimendi |
| Virgil van Dijk | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Pedri |
| Tijjani Reijnders | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Ferran Torres |
| Xavi Simons | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Alejandro Baena |
| Denzel Dumfries | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Yeremy Pino |
| Micky van de Ven | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Marc Cucurella |
| Quinten Timber | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Dani Olmo |
| Noa Lang | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Isco |
⚽1 | Victor Munoz |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 60% | 100% |
1.5 | 40% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 20% |
5.5 | 0% | 20% |
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