Germany - Italy: our prediction
23/03/2025•20:45
Germany
3:3
(3:0)
Finished
Italy
-
1
-
X
-
2
Germany vs Italy Preview — UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff
Match between Germany and Italy in the Nations League. Germany is favored with odds of 1.89, while Italy is at 5.86. Recent statistics show a strong Germany at home.
Our Germany vs Italy predictions
Germany to win
Germany has won 6 of its last 10 matches and has not lost any match as a favorite. Italy has lost 4 of its last 10 matches.
1.89
Confidence
High
Over 1.5 goals for Germany
Germany has scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches.
1.92
Confidence
Medium
Both teams to score
Germany has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches, while Italy has scored in 8 of its last 10 matches.
1.8
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 goals
5 of Germany's last 10 matches and 6 of Italy's last 10 matches saw over 2.5 goals.
1.95
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Germany vs Italy
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Germany vs Italy Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 4 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 20% |
Win by being a favorite | 71% | 43% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 70% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 70% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Serge Gnabry | 40% (4/10) | 83% (5/6) | Moise Kean |
| Nick Woltemade | 30% (3/10) | 33% (3/9) | Sandro Tonali |
| Florian Wirtz | 20% (2/10) | 30% (3/10) | Mateo Retegui |
| Forzan Assan Ouedraogo | 50% (1/2) | 38% (3/8) | Francesco Pio Esposito |
| Joshua Kimmich | 10% (1/10) | 30% (3/10) | Giacomo Raspadori |
| Kai Havertz | 50% (1/2) | 25% (2/8) | Gianluca Mancini |
| David Raum | 10% (1/10) | 17% (1/6) | Matteo Politano |
| Leroy Sane | 17% (1/6) | 11% (1/9) | Andrea Cambiaso |
| Deniz Undav | 25% (1/4) | 11% (1/9) | Alessandro Bastoni |
| Ridle Baku | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Jonathan Tah | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Nadiem Amiri | 25% (1/4) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Serge Gnabry | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Moise Kean |
| Nick Woltemade | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Mateo Retegui |
| Florian Wirtz | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Giacomo Raspadori |
| Leroy Sane | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Francesco Pio Esposito |
| Joshua Kimmich | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Sandro Tonali |
| David Raum | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Gianluca Mancini |
| Kai Havertz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Andrea Cambiaso |
| Nadiem Amiri | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Matteo Politano |
| Forzan Assan Ouedraogo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alessandro Bastoni |
| Jonathan Tah | ⚽1 | ||
| Ridle Baku | ⚽1 | ||
| Deniz Undav | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 40% | 60% |
2.5 | 40% | 30% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers