Portugal - Spain: our prediction
08/06/2025•21:00
Portugal
2:2
(1:2)
Finished AP
5 tab 3
Spain
-
1
-
X
-
2
Portugal vs Spain Preview — UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff
Portugal faces Spain in the UEFA Nations League. Spain, the favorite (odds 1.91), is unbeaten in 10 matches (7 wins, 3 draws). Portugal at home has 6 wins/10. High-scoring trend: 70% of matches with both teams scoring and 60-80% over 2.5 goals.
Our Portugal vs Spain predictions
Over 2.5 Goals
High-scoring trend: 60% of Portugal's matches (6/10) and 80% of Spain's (8/10) exceeded 2.5 goals. Consistent attacking form (Portugal: 1.4 goals/match, Spain: 1.7 goals/match) and open play style. Compatible with both teams scoring.
1.7
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
70% of recent matches for both teams featured goals from both sides (7/10 each). Portugal's attack (6 goals/10) and Spain's offense (8 matches with +1.5 goals/10) are potent. Defenses vulnerable (Portugal: 2 clean sheets/10, Spain: 3/10).
1.6
Confidence
High
Spain Win
Spain unbeaten in 10 matches (7 wins, 0 losses). 70% win rate as favorite, defensive solidity (3 clean sheets/10), and efficient attack (8/10 matches with +1.5 goals) are key strengths. No key absences reported.
1.95
Confidence
High
Market signals on Portugal vs Spain
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Portugal vs Spain Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 3 1 | 7 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 86% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 71% | 70% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 70% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 10% |
2nd half | 50% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 71% (5/7) | 70% (7/10) | Mikel Oyarzabal |
| Bruno Fernandes | 22% (2/9) | 50% (4/8) | Mikel Merino |
| Joao Cancelo | 33% (2/6) | 29% (2/7) | Ferran Torres |
| Chico Conceicao | 22% (2/9) | 22% (2/9) | Martin Zubimendi |
| Goncalo Ramos | 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) | Alejandro Baena |
| Ruben Neves | 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) | Dani Olmo |
| Joao Felix | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Marc Cucurella |
| Vitinha | 10% (1/10) | 50% (1/2) | Isco |
| Bernardo Silva | 13% (1/8) | 13% (1/8) | Pedri |
| Renato Veiga | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Yeremy Pino |
| Nuno Mendes | 13% (1/8) | 50% (1/2) | Victor Munoz |
| Trincao | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Joao Neves | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiano Ronaldo | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | Mikel Oyarzabal |
| Bruno Fernandes | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | Mikel Merino |
| Joao Neves | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Martin Zubimendi |
| Joao Felix | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Pedri |
| Chico Conceicao | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Ferran Torres |
| Goncalo Ramos | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Alejandro Baena |
| Nuno Mendes | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Yeremy Pino |
| Ruben Neves | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Marc Cucurella |
| Joao Cancelo | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Dani Olmo |
| Vitinha | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Isco |
| Bernardo Silva | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Victor Munoz |
| Trincao | ⚽1 | ||
| Renato Veiga | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 70% | 70% |
2.5 | 40% | 10% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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