Palmeiras - Chelsea: our prediction
05/07/2025•03:00
Palmeiras
1:2
(0:1)
Finished
Chelsea
-
1
-
X
-
2
Palmeiras vs Chelsea Preview — FIFA Club World Cup Final Stage
Palmeiras faces Chelsea in the Club World Cup final. Chelsea, favorite (odds 2.03), wins 70% of last 10 matches. Palmeiras wins 50% at home. No key absences reported. Trends: Low both teams scoring rate (Palmeiras 30%, Chelsea 40%), under 2.5 goals likely.
Our Palmeiras vs Chelsea predictions
Chelsea Win
Chelsea wins 70% of last 10 matches, including 7/9 as favorite. Solid defense (5 clean sheets) and statistical edge against Palmeiras, who win only 30% against favorites.
1.91
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 Goals
Palmeiras: Under 2.5 goals in 50% of matches. Chelsea: 60%. Low both teams scoring rate (Palmeiras 30%, Chelsea 40%). Stable defenses (Palmeiras: 6 clean sheets/10, Chelsea: 5/10).
1.65
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Palmeiras vs Chelsea
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Palmeiras vs Chelsea Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 3 2 | 7 1 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 78% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 44% | 78% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 100% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 40% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Lopez | 40% (4/10) | 33% (3/9) | Enzo Fernandez |
| Jhon Arias | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Andrey Santos |
| Allan | 25% (2/8) | 25% (2/8) | Joao Pedro |
| Ramon Sosa | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Jorrel Hato |
| Erick Bele | 17% (1/6) | 33% (1/3) | Estevao |
| Paulinho | 14% (1/7) | 11% (1/9) | Cole Palmer |
| Luighi | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Alejandro Garnacho |
| Felipe Anderson | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Tosin Adarabioyo |
| Andreas Pereira | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Mauricio | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Lopez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Enzo Fernandez |
| Jhon Arias | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Joao Pedro |
| Allan | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Andrey Santos |
| Ramon Sosa | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Estevao |
| Luighi | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Cole Palmer |
| Felipe Anderson | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tosin Adarabioyo |
| Andreas Pereira | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alejandro Garnacho |
| Erick Bele | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jorrel Hato |
| Paulinho | ⚽1 | ||
| Mauricio | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 60% |
1.5 | 40% | 40% |
2.5 | 20% | 20% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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