Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid: our prediction
09/07/2025•21:10
Paris Saint-Germain
4:0
(3:0)
Finished
Real Madrid
-
1
-
X
-
2
Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Preview — FIFA Club World Cup Final Stage
Paris Saint-Germain faces Real Madrid in the Club World Cup final. PSG, favorite (odds 2.32), won 9 of its last 10 matches. Real Madrid (odds 2.92) shows strong away form with 8 wins in 10 games. Statistics indicate an offensive match, with 70% of PSG's and 60% of Real's games exceeding 2.5 goals.
Our Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid predictions
PSG Win
PSG won 90% of its last 10 home games. Efficient attack with 9 matches >1.5 goals/team. No key absences reported. Real Madrid, while solid (80% wins), conceded in 60% of recent matches.
2.02
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals
70% of PSG's last 10 matches and 60% of Real Madrid's exceeded 2.5 goals. PSG scores >1.5 goals in 90% of games, while Real scores in 100% of recent matches. Relatively leaky defenses (PSG: 40% clean sheets; Real: 40%).
1.5
Confidence
Medium
Both Teams Score
Only 30% of PSG's last 10 matches saw both teams score (Real: 60%). PSG kept 6 clean sheets in 10 games, indicating solid defense. Real scored in 100% of matches but conceded in 60% of recent away games.
1.44
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 9 1 | 8 1 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 90% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 90% | 89% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 60% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 40% 60% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 40% (4/10) | 44% (4/9) | Vinicius Junior |
| Ousmane Dembele | 30% (3/10) | 50% (4/8) | Kylian Mbappe |
| Desire Doue | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Gonzalo Garcia |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Jude Bellingham |
| Bradley Barcola | 10% (1/10) | 20% (1/5) | Arda Guler |
| Kang-In Lee | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Brahim Diaz |
| Senny Mayulu | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Federico Valverde |
| Warren Zaire-Emery | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Lucas Beraldo | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Joao Neves | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Vinicius Junior |
| Ousmane Dembele | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Kylian Mbappe |
| Desire Doue | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Jude Bellingham |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Gonzalo Garcia |
| Lucas Beraldo | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Arda Guler |
| Joao Neves | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Federico Valverde |
| Bradley Barcola | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Brahim Diaz |
| Senny Mayulu | ⚽1 | ||
| Warren Zaire-Emery | ⚽1 | ||
| Kang-In Lee | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 30% |
1.5 | 20% | 20% |
2.5 | 0% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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