Chelsea FC Women - Barcelona: our prediction
27/04/2025•15:00
Chelsea FC Women
1:4
(0:3)
Finished
Barcelona
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1
-
X
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2
Chelsea FC Women vs Barcelona Preview — Women's Champions League Final Stage
UEFA Women's Champions League Final between Chelsea (at home) and Barcelona (bookmakers' favorite). Barcelona is in impressive form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches, while Chelsea, solid at home, has won 7 of their last 10. The offensive statistics of both teams suggest an open match with goals.
Our Chelsea FC Women vs Barcelona predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
The offensive statistics of both teams are convincing. In the last 10 matches, Chelsea had over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases (8/10) and Barcelona in 80% of cases (8/10). Neither defense is watertight (Chelsea: 30% clean sheets, Barcelona: 30%). The final and the stakes could lead to offensive play. The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet is supported by a strong historical trend.
1.4
Confidence
Very high
Barcelona to win
Barcelona is clearly the favorite (odds at 1.48). The team shows exceptional form with 9 wins in its last 10 matches (90%), and has lost only once. It has won 90% of its matches as favorite (9/10). Chelsea, although solid at home (7 wins/10), has suffered 2 defeats. Barcelona's technical superiority and consistency, coupled with its status as an experienced finalist, make it the logical favorite to win.
1.53
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Chelsea has scored at least one goal in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10 for 'parou05'), and Barcelona in 100% (10/10). Conversely, Chelsea did not concede a goal in only 30% of its matches, and Barcelona in 30%. The probability of each team finding the net is therefore high. The 'Both teams to score' (BTTS) bet has an occurrence of 60% for Chelsea and 70% for Barcelona over the last 10 matches, reinforcing this scenario.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market signals on Chelsea FC Women vs Barcelona
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Chelsea FC Women vs Barcelona Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 1 2 | 9 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 89% | 90% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 75% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 78% | 90% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 70% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 10% |
2nd half | 60% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 70% 30% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Kerr | 100% (6/6) | 40% (4/10) | Ewa Pajor |
| Lauren James | 38% (3/8) | 33% (3/9) | Salma Paralluelo |
| Erin Cuthbert | 25% (2/8) | 30% (3/10) | Alexia Putellas |
| Sjoeke Nuesken | 25% (2/8) | 30% (3/10) | Esmee Brugts |
| Alyssa Thompson | 13% (1/8) | 30% (3/10) | Claudia Pina |
| Naomi Girma | 25% (1/4) | 25% (2/8) | Caroline Graham Hansen |
| Ellie Carpenter | 17% (1/6) | 20% (2/10) | Sydney Schertenleib |
| Alexia Potter | 13% (1/8) | 20% (2/10) | Carla Julia |
| Johanna Rytting Kaneryd | 20% (1/5) | 25% (2/8) | Martine Fenger |
| Veerle Buurman | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Vicky Lopez |
20% (1/5) | Aitana Bonmati | ||
11% (1/9) | Irene Paredes | ||
10% (1/10) | Francisca Nazareth | ||
10% (1/10) | Marta Torrejon | ||
10% (1/10) | Ona Batlle | ||
10% (1/10) | Mapi Leon |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Kerr | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Ewa Pajor |
| Lauren James | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Alexia Putellas |
| Sjoeke Nuesken | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Salma Paralluelo |
| Erin Cuthbert | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Claudia Pina |
| Alexia Potter | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Martine Fenger |
| Naomi Girma | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Caroline Graham Hansen |
| Ellie Carpenter | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Esmee Brugts |
| Alyssa Thompson | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Sydney Schertenleib |
| Johanna Rytting Kaneryd | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Carla Julia |
| Veerle Buurman | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ona Batlle |
⚽1 | Marta Torrejon | ||
⚽1 | Vicky Lopez | ||
⚽1 | Irene Paredes | ||
⚽1 | Francisca Nazareth | ||
⚽1 | Mapi Leon | ||
⚽1 | Aitana Bonmati |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 67% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 56% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 56% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 56% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 44% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 33% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 22% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 20% |
1.5 | 20% | 0% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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