USA - Mexico: our prediction
07/07/2025•01:00
USA
1:2
(1:1)
Finished
Mexico
-
1
-
X
-
2
USA vs Mexico Preview — CONCACAF Gold Cup Final Stage
Gold Cup match between USA (home) and Mexico (favorite, odds 2.38). Mexico wins 7 out of 10 recent matches, USA 5/10. Goal trend: +2.5 goals at 80% for USA, 30% for Mexico.
Our USA vs Mexico predictions
Mexico Win
Mexico, favorite (70% recent wins), statistically dominant. Solid defense (60% clean sheets) vs. inconsistent US attack.
2.47
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Goals
Mexico limits goals (70% under 2.5). USA scored only 50% of recent goals at home. Low BTTS trend (30% Mexico).
1.4
Confidence
High
USA Under 1.5 Goals
Ineffective US attack (50% of matches under 1.5 goals). Solid Mexican defense (60% clean sheets).
2.97
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on USA vs Mexico
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
USA vs Mexico Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 1 4 | 7 1 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 63% | 78% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 30% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Folarin Balogun | 38% (3/8) | 33% (2/6) | Brian Gutierrez |
| Diego Luna | 25% (2/8) | 25% (2/8) | German Berterame |
| Tanner Tessmann | 17% (1/6) | 25% (1/4) | Richard Ledezma |
| Sebastian Berhalter | 13% (1/8) | 25% (1/4) | Raul Jimenez |
| Chris Richards | 14% (1/7) | 13% (1/8) | Armando Gonzalez |
| Giovanni Reyna | 25% (1/4) | 25% (1/4) | Guillermo Martinez |
| Alex Freeman | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Jesus Gallardo |
| Weston McKennie | 25% (1/4) | 14% (1/7) | Jorge Sanchez |
| Alex Zendejas | 50% (1/2) | ||
| Haji Wright | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Patrick Agyemang | 17% (1/6) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Folarin Balogun | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | German Berterame |
| Diego Luna | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Brian Gutierrez |
| Alex Freeman | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Richard Ledezma |
| Haji Wright | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jesus Gallardo |
| Alex Zendejas | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jorge Sanchez |
| Giovanni Reyna | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Raul Jimenez |
| Weston McKennie | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Armando Gonzalez |
| Tanner Tessmann | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Guillermo Martinez |
| Sebastian Berhalter | ⚽1 | ||
| Chris Richards | ⚽1 | ||
| Patrick Agyemang | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 60% |
1.5 | 40% | 40% |
2.5 | 30% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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