Leon - Cruz Azul: our prediction
09/05/2025•05:10
Leon
2:3
(1:3)
Finished
Cruz Azul
-
1
-
X
-
2
Leon vs Cruz Azul Preview — Liga MX Clausura Playoff
Close match between Leon (home) and Cruz Azul (favorite at 2.11). Cruz Azul has 6 wins/10, Leon 3/10. Both teams scored in 70% of Leon's games and 50% for Cruz Azul. Over 2.5 goals: 50% for both.
Our Leon vs Cruz Azul predictions
Under 3.5 Goals
Leon NEVER exceeded 3.5 goals in last 10 games, Cruz Azul only twice. Solid overall defenses and balanced match trends.
1.2
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Cruz Azul Victory
Cruz Azul won 60% of their last 10 games (6 wins) with no recent losses. Their favorite status and defensive consistency (5 clean sheets/10) support this pick.
2.1
Confidence
High (65 %)
Both Teams Score
Leon had BTTS in 70% of games, Cruz Azul in 50%. Low clean sheet rates (Leon: 2/10, Cruz Azul: 5/10) suggest goals from both sides.
1.95
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Over 2.5 Goals
Both teams hit +2.5 goals in 50% of recent games. Cruz Azul's attack (1.8 goals/game) and Leon's weak defense (1.2 conceded/game) support this.
2.25
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Leon vs Cruz Azul
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Leon vs Cruz Azul Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 2 5 | 6 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 50% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 40% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Diber Cambindo | 50% (5/10) | 20% (2/10) | Jose Paradela |
| Ismael Diaz | 30% (3/10) | 22% (2/9) | Jeremy Marquez |
| Daniel Arcila | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Agustin Palavecino |
| Fernando Beltran | 20% (2/10) | 25% (2/8) | Gabriel Fernandez |
| Juan Dominguez | 13% (1/8) | 20% (2/10) | Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi |
| Miguel Rodriguez | 13% (1/8) | 20% (2/10) | Christian Ebere |
10% (1/10) | Carlos Rodriguez | ||
11% (1/9) | Andres Montano | ||
10% (1/10) | Luka Romero |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Diber Cambindo | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Christian Ebere |
| Ismael Diaz | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi |
| Daniel Arcila | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Gabriel Fernandez |
| Fernando Beltran | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Jose Paradela |
| Juan Dominguez | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Agustin Palavecino |
| Miguel Rodriguez | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Jeremy Marquez |
⚽1 | Andres Montano | ||
⚽1 | Carlos Rodriguez | ||
⚽1 | Luka Romero |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 20% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 10% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 40% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 100% |
1.5 | 80% | 60% |
2.5 | 40% | 40% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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