Sweden U21 - Italy U21: our prediction
31/03/2026•18:30
Sweden U21
0:4
(0:2)
Finished
Italy U21
-
1
-
X
-
2
Sweden U21 vs Italy U21 Preview — EURO U21 Qualification Grp. E
Italy U21, favorite with odds of 1.67, shows solid form (7 wins in last 10 matches). Sweden U21, at home, struggles to win (3 wins/10) and has never won as an outsider. Statistics suggest a match with goals (Over 2.5 at 60-70% success rate).
Our Sweden U21 vs Italy U21 predictions
Italy U21 Win
Italy U21 is in excellent form with 7 wins in their last 10 matches (70% success rate). They have won 7 of their last 8 matches as favorites. Sweden U21 has won only 3 of their last 10 matches and has never won as an outsider (0/4). Italy has a more efficient attack (Niccolo Pisilli, 5 goals) and a more solid defense (4 clean sheets vs. 2 for Sweden). No major absences reported.
1.67
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
The offensive statistics of both teams support this bet. In the last 10 matches, Sweden U21 had over 2.5 goals in 60% of their matches (6/10). Italy U21 has an even higher rate of 70% (7/10). Both teams score regularly (Sweden: Over 1.5 goals/match at 90%, Italy: 80%). The defenses are not impenetrable (Sweden: 2 clean sheets, Italy: 4). The likely scenario of an Italian win with goals from both sides favors a high total.
1.59
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
This bet is supported by recent trends. Italy U21 has seen both teams score in 60% of their last 10 matches (6/10). Sweden U21 has a rate of 50% (5/10). Sweden, playing at home, has scored at least one goal in 70% of recent matches (parou05). Italy, the offensive favorite, has scored in 100% of their last 10 matches. However, Italy also has a defense capable of clean sheets (40%), making this bet less certain than the others. No information on key defensive absences weakens this probability.
1.57
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Sweden U21 vs Italy U21
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Sweden U21 vs Italy U21 Statistics
Win
Win | 3 3 4 | 7 2 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 88% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 88% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 30% |
2nd half | 20% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
100% (4/4) | Niccolo Pisilli | ||
100% (3/3) | Luca Koleosho | ||
100% (2/2) | Cher Ndour | ||
50% (1/2) | Giuseppe Ambrosino |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Omorowa | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Niccolo Pisilli |
| Momodou Sonko | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Luca Koleosho |
| Jeremy Agbonifo | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Francesco Camarda |
| Marcus Rafferty | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Luca Lipani |
| Lukas Bjoerklund | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Seydou Fini |
| Jonah Kusi-Asare | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Matteo Dagasso |
| Roony Bardghji | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Jeff Ekhator |
| Amin Boudri | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Cher Ndour |
| Peter Amoran | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Luca Marianucci |
⚽1 | Tommaso Berti | ||
⚽1 | Giuseppe Ambrosino |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 75% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 25% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 25% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 30% |
1.5 | 0% | 30% |
2.5 | 0% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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