Ssc Naples vs Milan Ac — Prediction
06/04/2026•20:45
SSC Napoli
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
AC Milan
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
SSC Napoli, the bookmakers' favorite, hosts AC Milan in a Serie A match. Over their last 10 matches, both teams show similar statistics in terms of wins (6) and defeats (2). However, Napoli displays a more prolific attack and a more permeable defense, while Milan is more solid defensively but scores less. The match promises to be tight, with a high probability of goals.
Our predictions
Both teams to score
Over the last 10 matches, SSC Napoli has seen both teams score in 90% of cases (9/10), demonstrating an effective attack (8 matches with over 2.5 goals) but a fragile defense (only 1 clean sheet). AC Milan, although more solid (4 clean sheets), has scored in 80% of its matches. The historical trend and offensive playing styles of both teams strongly support this scenario.
1.9
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
SSC Napoli's matches are very offensive: 80% of their last 10 matches exceeded 2.5 goals (8/10). The team scores regularly (at least 1 goal in 100% of matches) and often concedes. AC Milan, although less prolific (30% of its matches >2.5 goals), has quality attackers (Leao, Rabiot) capable of contributing to the score. The combination of Napoli's attack and Milan's counter-attack favors a match with over 2 goals.
2.26
Confidence
High
SSC Napoli to win
SSC Napoli is slightly favored (odds at 2.45) and plays at home. Over the last 10 matches, both teams have an identical record (6W, 2D, 2L). However, Napoli shows better offensive efficiency (8 matches >2.5 goals vs 3 for Milan) and a strong ability to score early (leading at halftime in 70% of cases). The home advantage and sharper attack could make the difference in a tight match.
2.44
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 2 2 | 6 2 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 86% | 63% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 90% 10% | 40% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Hoejlund | 40% (4/10) | 33% (2/6) | Ruben Loftus-Cheek |
| Alisson Santos | 38% (3/8) | 20% (2/10) | Strahinja Pavlovic |
| Antonio Vergara | 38% (3/8) | 22% (2/9) | Rafael Leao |
| Eljif Elmas | 20% (2/10) | 25% (2/8) | Adrien Rabiot |
| Matteo Politano | 29% (2/7) | 10% (1/10) | Koni De Winter |
| Scott McTominay | 40% (2/5) | 10% (1/10) | Niclas Fuellkrug |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Christopher Nkunku |
| Miguel Gutierrez | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Youssouf Fofana |
| Vanja Milinkovic-Savic | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Luka Modric |
| Romelu Lukaku | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Pervis Estupinan |
| Sam Beukema | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Hoejlund | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽2 | Ruben Loftus-Cheek |
| Antonio Vergara | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Rafael Leao |
| Alisson Santos | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Adrien Rabiot |
| Matteo Politano | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Strahinja Pavlovic |
| Miguel Gutierrez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Koni De Winter |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Youssouf Fofana |
| Eljif Elmas | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Christopher Nkunku |
| Scott McTominay | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Niclas Fuellkrug |
| Romelu Lukaku | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Luka Modric |
| Vanja Milinkovic-Savic | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Pervis Estupinan |
| Sam Beukema | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 80% |
1.5 | 40% | 60% |
2.5 | 20% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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