SSC Napoli - AC Milan: our prediction
06/04/2026•20:45
SSC Napoli
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
AC Milan
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1
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X
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2
SSC Napoli vs AC Milan Preview — Serie A
SSC Napoli, the bookmakers' favorite, hosts AC Milan in a Serie A match. Over their last 10 matches, both teams show similar statistics in terms of wins (6) and defeats (2). However, Napoli displays a more prolific attack and a more permeable defense, while Milan is more solid defensively but scores less. The match promises to be tight, with a high probability of goals.
Our SSC Napoli vs AC Milan predictions
Both teams to score
Over the last 10 matches, SSC Napoli has seen both teams score in 90% of cases (9/10), demonstrating an effective attack (8 matches with over 2.5 goals) but a fragile defense (only 1 clean sheet). AC Milan, although more solid (4 clean sheets), has scored in 80% of its matches. The historical trend and offensive playing styles of both teams strongly support this scenario.
1.91
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
SSC Napoli's matches are very offensive: 80% of their last 10 matches exceeded 2.5 goals (8/10). The team scores regularly (at least 1 goal in 100% of matches) and often concedes. AC Milan, although less prolific (30% of its matches >2.5 goals), has quality attackers (Leao, Rabiot) capable of contributing to the score. The combination of Napoli's attack and Milan's counter-attack favors a match with over 2 goals.
2.3
Confidence
High
SSC Napoli to win
SSC Napoli is slightly favored (odds at 2.45) and plays at home. Over the last 10 matches, both teams have an identical record (6W, 2D, 2L). However, Napoli shows better offensive efficiency (8 matches >2.5 goals vs 3 for Milan) and a strong ability to score early (leading at halftime in 70% of cases). The home advantage and sharper attack could make the difference in a tight match.
2.4
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on SSC Napoli vs AC Milan
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
SSC Napoli vs AC Milan Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 2 2 | 6 2 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 86% | 63% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 90% 10% | 40% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McTominay | 40% (4/10) | 20% (2/10) | Christopher Nkunku |
| Rasmus Hoejlund | 33% (3/9) | 22% (2/9) | Adrien Rabiot |
| Matteo Politano | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Strahinja Pavlovic |
| Alisson Santos | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Youssouf Fofana |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | 25% (1/4) | 11% (1/9) | Alexis Saelemaekers |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Zachary Athekame |
| Amir Rrahmani | 17% (1/6) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McTominay | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Strahinja Pavlovic |
| Rasmus Hoejlund | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Adrien Rabiot |
| Matteo Politano | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Christopher Nkunku |
| Alisson Santos | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Alexis Saelemaekers |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Youssouf Fofana |
| Kevin De Bruyne | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Zachary Athekame |
| Amir Rrahmani | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 80% |
1.5 | 40% | 60% |
2.5 | 20% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
SSC Napoli
3-4-2-1CoachAntonio Conte
Starting XI
Substitutes
AC Milan
3-5-2CoachMassimiliano Allegri
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Inter | 71%(27/38) |
| 2 | | SSC Napoli | 61%(23/38) |
| 3 |  | Roma | 61%(23/38) |
| 4 | | AC Milan | 53%(20/38) |
| 5 |  | Como | 53%(20/38) |
| 6 |  | Juventus | 50%(19/38) |
| 7 |  | Bologna | 42%(16/38) |
| 8 |  | Atalanta | 39%(15/38) |
| 9 |  | Udinese | 37%(14/38) |
| 10 |  | Sassuolo | 37%(14/38) |
| 11 |  | Lazio | 37%(14/38) |
| 12 |  | Torino | 32%(12/38) |
| 13 |  | Cagliari | 29%(11/38) |
| 14 |  | Parma Calcio 1913 | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Genoa | 26%(10/38) |
| 16 |  | Lecce | 26%(10/38) |
| 17 |  | Fiorentina | 24%(9/38) |
| 18 |  | Cremonese | 21%(8/38) |
| 19 |  | Hellas Verona | 8%(3/38) |
| 20 |  | Pisa | 5%(2/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Serie A
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Serie A. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Serie A est l'une des compétitions majeures de Italy. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Serie A, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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