Rugby

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Genoa - Sassuolo: our prediction

12/04/2026•12:30

Genoa

2:1

(1:0)

Finished

Sassuolo

Genoa vs Sassuolo Preview — Serie A

Genoa hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A match. Genoa is slightly favored by bookmakers with odds at 2.15. Over the last 10 matches, Genoa has won 4 games, lost 5, and drawn 1. Sassuolo shows a stronger record with 6 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draw. Both teams score regularly, and matches with over 2.5 goals are frequent for Sassuolo (70%).

Our Genoa vs Sassuolo predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Sassuolo has recorded over 2.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Genoa has reached this threshold in 50% of its matches (5/10). Both teams have productive attacks (Genoa: 6 different players have scored; Sassuolo: Pinamonti 4 goals, Berardi 3 goals) and defenses that concede regularly (Genoa: 70% of matches without a clean sheet; Sassuolo: 80%). No information on major absences was found. An open match with several goals is likely.

2.09

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Over the last 10 matches, Sassuolo has seen both teams score in 60% of cases (6/10). Genoa has a rate of 40% (4/10), but its percentage of matches without a clean sheet is 70%, indicating a vulnerable defense. Goalscorer statistics show that both teams have several offensive options. No information on major absences was found. The probability of both nets shaking is high.

1.84

Confidence

High

Sassuolo to win

Sassuolo shows better recent form with 6 wins in 10 matches (60%), compared to 4 for Genoa (40%). Away from home, Sassuolo has won 2 of its last 5 away matches. Genoa, at home, has a mixed record. The odds reflect a slight advantage for Genoa (2.15), but the value seems to be on Sassuolo's side (3.40). No information on major absences was found. Sassuolo's superior offensive performance (8 out of 10 matches with over 1.5 goals scored by the team) could make the difference.

3.51

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Genoa vs Sassuolo

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Genoa vs Sassuolo Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Genoa	Sassuolo
Win	4 1 5	6 1 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	75%	80%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	75%
Win by being a favorite	50%	80%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	60%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	40%
Win by being an outsider	33%	40%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	60% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	40%
2nd half	50%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Vitinha	20% (2/10)	30% (3/10)	Armand Lauriente
Lorenzo Colombo	10% (1/10)	33% (3/9)	Andrea Pinamonti
Caleb Ekuban	11% (1/9)	11% (1/9)	Kristian Thorstvedt
Johan Vasquez	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Ulisses Garcia
Leo Oestigard	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Cristian Volpato
Jeff Ekhator	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	M'Bala Nzola
Junior Messias	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Ismael Kone
Ruslan Malinovsky	11% (1/9)	13% (1/8)	Domenico Berardi

Total goals per player

	1	2
Vitinha	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Armand Lauriente
Leo Oestigard	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Andrea Pinamonti
Ruslan Malinovsky	⚽1	⚽1	Ismael Kone
Johan Vasquez	⚽1	⚽1	Domenico Berardi
Lorenzo Colombo	⚽1	⚽1	M'Bala Nzola
Junior Messias	⚽1	⚽1	Kristian Thorstvedt
Caleb Ekuban	⚽1	⚽1	Ulisses Garcia
Jeff Ekhator	⚽1	⚽1	Cristian Volpato

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	60%	70%
Over corners 8.5	40%	60%
Over corners 9.5	30%	60%
Over corners 10.5	20%	60%
Over corners 11.5	20%	30%
Over corners 12.5	10%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	90%
Over corners 3.5	50%	70%
Over corners 4.5	40%	60%
Over corners 5.5	20%	40%
Over corners 6.5	20%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	100%
1.5	30%	60%
2.5	10%	40%
3.5	0%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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