Genoa - Sassuolo: our prediction
12/04/2026•12:30
Genoa
2:1
(1:0)
Finished
Sassuolo
-
1
-
X
-
2
Genoa vs Sassuolo Preview — Serie A
Genoa hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A match. Genoa is slightly favored by bookmakers with odds at 2.15. Over the last 10 matches, Genoa has won 4 games, lost 5, and drawn 1. Sassuolo shows a stronger record with 6 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draw. Both teams score regularly, and matches with over 2.5 goals are frequent for Sassuolo (70%).
Our Genoa vs Sassuolo predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Sassuolo has recorded over 2.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Genoa has reached this threshold in 50% of its matches (5/10). Both teams have productive attacks (Genoa: 6 different players have scored; Sassuolo: Pinamonti 4 goals, Berardi 3 goals) and defenses that concede regularly (Genoa: 70% of matches without a clean sheet; Sassuolo: 80%). No information on major absences was found. An open match with several goals is likely.
2.09
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Over the last 10 matches, Sassuolo has seen both teams score in 60% of cases (6/10). Genoa has a rate of 40% (4/10), but its percentage of matches without a clean sheet is 70%, indicating a vulnerable defense. Goalscorer statistics show that both teams have several offensive options. No information on major absences was found. The probability of both nets shaking is high.
1.84
Confidence
High
Sassuolo to win
Sassuolo shows better recent form with 6 wins in 10 matches (60%), compared to 4 for Genoa (40%). Away from home, Sassuolo has won 2 of its last 5 away matches. Genoa, at home, has a mixed record. The odds reflect a slight advantage for Genoa (2.15), but the value seems to be on Sassuolo's side (3.40). No information on major absences was found. Sassuolo's superior offensive performance (8 out of 10 matches with over 1.5 goals scored by the team) could make the difference.
3.51
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Genoa vs Sassuolo
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Genoa vs Sassuolo Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 1 5 | 6 1 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 60% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 40% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitinha | 20% (2/10) | 30% (3/10) | Armand Lauriente |
| Lorenzo Colombo | 10% (1/10) | 33% (3/9) | Andrea Pinamonti |
| Caleb Ekuban | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Kristian Thorstvedt |
| Johan Vasquez | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Ulisses Garcia |
| Leo Oestigard | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Cristian Volpato |
| Jeff Ekhator | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | M'Bala Nzola |
| Junior Messias | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Ismael Kone |
| Ruslan Malinovsky | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Domenico Berardi |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitinha | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Armand Lauriente |
| Leo Oestigard | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Andrea Pinamonti |
| Ruslan Malinovsky | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ismael Kone |
| Johan Vasquez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Domenico Berardi |
| Lorenzo Colombo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | M'Bala Nzola |
| Junior Messias | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kristian Thorstvedt |
| Caleb Ekuban | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ulisses Garcia |
| Jeff Ekhator | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Cristian Volpato |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 100% |
1.5 | 30% | 60% |
2.5 | 10% | 40% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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