AC Milan - Cagliari: our prediction
24/05/2026•20:45
AC Milan
1:2
(1:1)
Finished
Cagliari
-
1
-
X
-
2
AC Milan vs Cagliari Preview — Serie A
AC Milan, heavy favorite (odds at 1.27), hosts Cagliari for a Serie A match. Statistics show Milan's irregular form with 4 wins in 10 matches, while Cagliari has 3 wins. Both teams tend to concede goals, with a high probability of both teams scoring. The match promises to be tight despite the status difference.
Our AC Milan vs Cagliari predictions
Under 3.5 goals (per match)
Statistically, 80% of AC Milan's matches (8/10) and 80% of Cagliari's matches (8/10) have seen under 3.5 goals. Although both teams can score, a match with more than 3 goals is uncommon for these two teams. The trend is towards a relatively low score.
1.33
Confidence
High (65 %)
AC Milan victory
AC Milan is the logical favorite with odds of 1.27. Although their recent form is irregular (4 wins in 10), they play at home and have a more talented squad. Cagliari has lost 6 of their last 10 matches. Milan's victory is the most likely scenario.
1.35
Confidence
High (65 %)
Over 1.5 goals (per match)
AC Milan has an attack capable of scoring, but their defense is leaky (7 out of 10 matches without a clean sheet). Cagliari, although weaker, has scored in 6 of their last 10 matches. The trend is towards goals. The odds of 1.27 for a Milan win suggest a match with at least 2 total goals.
1.29
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on AC Milan vs Cagliari
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
AC Milan vs Cagliari Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 1 5 | 3 1 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 67% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 38% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 29% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 14% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 14% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 50% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Nkunku | 20% (2/10) | 33% (3/9) | Sebastiano Esposito |
| Strahinja Pavlovic | 20% (2/10) | 33% (2/6) | Gennaro Borrelli |
| Adrien Rabiot | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Juan Rodriguez |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 11% (1/9) | 50% (1/2) | Leonardo Pavoletti |
| Zachary Athekame | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Yerry Mina |
| Youssouf Fofana | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Paul Mendy |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Strahinja Pavlovic | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Sebastiano Esposito |
| Adrien Rabiot | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Gennaro Borrelli |
| Christopher Nkunku | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Paul Mendy |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Yerry Mina |
| Youssouf Fofana | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Leonardo Pavoletti |
| Zachary Athekame | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Juan Rodriguez |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 10% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 80% |
1.5 | 60% | 40% |
2.5 | 40% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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