Newcastle United - AFC Bournemouth: our prediction
18/04/2026•16:00
Newcastle United
1:2
(0:1)
Finished
AFC Bournemouth
-
1
-
X
-
2
Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth Preview — Premier League
Newcastle United hosts Bournemouth in a Premier League match. Newcastle is the bookmakers' favourite with odds at 2.00, but shows mixed recent form (3 wins, 1 draw, 6 defeats in last 10 matches). Bournemouth, away from home, is unbeaten as an outsider in its last 5 matches in that status. Statistics show a strong goal trend for Newcastle (Over 2.5 goals at 80% in last 10 matches) and a frequent 'Both Teams to Score'.
Our Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth predictions
Newcastle United scores over 0.5 goal
Extremely solid indicator. Newcastle has scored at least one goal in 100% of its last 10 matches (10/10). At home, against a Bournemouth defense that has kept only 4 clean sheets in 10, the probability of them finding the back of the net is maximal. Scorers like Gordon (3 goals) and Barnes (2 goals) are in form.
1.15
Confidence
Very high
Both Teams to Score
Newcastle has a BTS at 90% in its last 10 matches. Its defense concedes almost systematically. Bournemouth has a BTS at 60% over the same period. The away team has scored in 7 of its last 10 matches and has scorers like Kroupi (3 goals). The low frequency of clean sheets on both sides (Newcastle 10%, Bournemouth 40%) reinforces this scenario.
1.44
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Newcastle has seen over 2.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Its attack scores regularly but its defense is leaky (1 clean sheet in 10). Bournemouth has an Over 2.5 at 40% over the same period, but against a Newcastle attack at home and with its own BTS tendency (60%), an open match with several goals is likely.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market signals on Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 1 6 | 4 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 25% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 25% | 20% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 60% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 90% 10% | 60% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| William Osula | 40% (4/10) | 50% (5/10) | Eli Junior Kroupi |
| Harvey Barnes | 20% (2/10) | 30% (3/10) | Rayan |
| Anthony Gordon | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Marcus Tavernier |
| Nick Woltemade | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Alex Scott |
| Daniel Burn | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Ryan Christie |
| Anthony Elanga | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Adrien Truffert |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| William Osula | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Eli Junior Kroupi |
| Anthony Elanga | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Rayan |
| Harvey Barnes | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Marcus Tavernier |
| Anthony Gordon | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Adrien Truffert |
| Daniel Burn | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ryan Christie |
| Nick Woltemade | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alex Scott |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 80% | 60% |
2.5 | 50% | 40% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Newcastle United
4-3-3CoachEddie Howe
Starting XI
Substitutes
AFC Bournemouth
4-2-3-1CoachAndoni Iraola
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Arsenal | 68%(26/38) |
| 2 |  | Manchester City | 61%(23/38) |
| 3 |  | Manchester United | 53%(20/38) |
| 4 |  | Aston Villa | 50%(19/38) |
| 5 |  | Liverpool | 45%(17/38) |
| 6 |  | Fulham | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 |  | Chelsea | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 |  | Sunderland | 37%(14/38) |
| 9 |  | Brentford | 37%(14/38) |
| 10 |  | Brighton & Hove Albion | 37%(14/38) |
| 11 | | Newcastle United | 37%(14/38) |
| 12 | | AFC Bournemouth | 34%(13/38) |
| 13 |  | Everton | 34%(13/38) |
| 14 |  | Leeds United | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Crystal Palace | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 |  | Nottingham Forest | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 |  | Tottenham Hotspur | 26%(10/38) |
| 18 |  | West Ham United | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 |  | Burnley | 11%(4/38) |
| 20 |  | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 8%(3/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Premier League
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Présentation de la compétition
Premier League est l'une des compétitions majeures de England. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
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Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Premier League, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
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- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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