Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea: our prediction
21/04/2026•21:00
Brighton & Hove Albion
3:0
(1:0)
Finished
Chelsea
-
1
-
X
-
2
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea Preview — Premier League
Brighton hosts Chelsea in a Premier League match. Brighton is a slight favorite with bookmakers (odds 2.45) despite recent inconsistent form (5W, 1D, 4L in last 10). Chelsea, struggling away from home (0 wins in last 10 matches), has a leaky defense but an attack capable of scoring. Statistics suggest a tight match with goals likely from both sides.
Our Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea predictions
Under 2.5 goals (per team) - Brighton
This indicator is extremely solid from a statistical point of view. In its last 10 matches, Brighton has NEVER scored more than 2 goals (0/10). The bet "Brighton scores under 2.5 goals" therefore has a 100% success rate over the analyzed period. Even against Chelsea's fragile defense, Brighton's attack, although capable of scoring, has not demonstrated sufficient offensive power to envisage a goal fest. It is the safest bet based on recent historical data.
1.1
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 goals (per match)
The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams support this bet. In the last 10 matches, Chelsea's matches saw over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases (8/10), a very high rate. Brighton's did so in 40% of cases. The overall trend is towards open play and goals. Chelsea concedes and scores regularly (clean sheet only 1/10). The combination of Chelsea's weak away defense and Brighton's home attack, added to Chelsea's scoring ability, makes the scenario of over 2 goals very likely.
1.85
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows that Brighton saw both teams score in 30% of its matches, while Chelsea did so in 40%. Even more revealing: Brighton kept a clean sheet only 3 times out of 10, Chelsea only once. Defenses are leaky. Chelsea, despite its poor away results, has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). Brighton scores regularly at home. The probability of both nets shaking is high.
1.68
Confidence
High
Market signals on Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 1 4 | 2 1 7 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 43% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 29% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 40% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 40% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 40% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 40% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 50% |
2nd half | 40% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hinshelwood | 30% (3/10) | 33% (3/9) | Enzo Fernandez |
| Danny Welbeck | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Andrey Santos |
| Yankuba Minteh | 20% (2/10) | 25% (2/8) | Joao Pedro |
| Lewis Dunk | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Jorrel Hato |
| Kaoru Mitoma | 13% (1/8) | 33% (1/3) | Estevao |
| Georginio Rutter | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Cole Palmer |
| Mats Wieffer | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Alejandro Garnacho |
| Ferdi Kadioglu | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Tosin Adarabioyo |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hinshelwood | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Enzo Fernandez |
| Danny Welbeck | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Joao Pedro |
| Yankuba Minteh | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Andrey Santos |
| Mats Wieffer | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Estevao |
| Georginio Rutter | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Cole Palmer |
| Ferdi Kadioglu | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tosin Adarabioyo |
| Kaoru Mitoma | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alejandro Garnacho |
| Lewis Dunk | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jorrel Hato |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 70% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 70% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 70% |
1.5 | 70% | 60% |
2.5 | 50% | 30% |
3.5 | 30% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
Lineups
Brighton & Hove Albion
4-2-3-1CoachFabian Hurzeler
Starting XI
Substitutes
Chelsea
4-4-1-1CoachLiam Rosenior
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Arsenal | 68%(26/38) |
| 2 |  | Manchester City | 61%(23/38) |
| 3 |  | Manchester United | 53%(20/38) |
| 4 |  | Aston Villa | 50%(19/38) |
| 5 |  | Liverpool | 45%(17/38) |
| 6 |  | Fulham | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 | | Chelsea | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 |  | Sunderland | 37%(14/38) |
| 9 |  | Brentford | 37%(14/38) |
| 10 | | Brighton & Hove Albion | 37%(14/38) |
| 11 |  | Newcastle United | 37%(14/38) |
| 12 |  | AFC Bournemouth | 34%(13/38) |
| 13 |  | Everton | 34%(13/38) |
| 14 |  | Leeds United | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Crystal Palace | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 |  | Nottingham Forest | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 |  | Tottenham Hotspur | 26%(10/38) |
| 18 |  | West Ham United | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 |  | Burnley | 11%(4/38) |
| 20 |  | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 8%(3/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Premier League
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Premier League. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Premier League est l'une des compétitions majeures de England. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Premier League, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers