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Hamilton Academical - Alloa Athletic: our prediction

11/04/2026•16:00

Hamilton Academical

1:0

(0:0)

Finished

Alloa Athletic

Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic Preview — League One

Hamilton Academical hosts Alloa Athletic in League One. Alloa is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.28, but Hamilton is playing at home. Over the last 10 matches, Alloa shows better form (5W, 2D, 3L) compared to Hamilton (2W, 2D, 6L). Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with goals.

Our Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic predictions

Over 1.5 goals in the match

Over the last 10 matches, Hamilton has seen over 1.5 goals in 70% of its matches (7/10) and Alloa in 90% (9/10). Both teams have defensive difficulties (Hamilton: 8/10 matches without a clean sheet; Alloa: 7/10). Alloa's attack is more prolific (higher goal average). A match with at least 2 goals is very likely.

1.22

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Hamilton has scored in 6/10 of its last matches and conceded in 8/10. Alloa has scored in all of its last 10 matches (10/10) and conceded in 7/10. The 'Both Teams to Score' statistics are 40% for Hamilton (4/10) and 70% for Alloa (7/10). Alloa's strong attack and Hamilton's fragile defense, combined with Hamilton's ability to score at home, make this scenario plausible.

1.62

Confidence

Medium

Alloa Athletic to win

Alloa is the designated favorite (odds 2.28). Over the last 10 matches, Alloa has 5 wins (50%) compared to only 2 for Hamilton (20%). Alloa also has a better performance as a favorite (4 wins in 7 matches where it was favorite). However, Hamilton is playing at home and has won 2 of its last 10 matches. Confidence is low due to Hamilton's home advantage and its ability to surprise.

2.3

Confidence

Low

Market signals on Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Hamilton Academical	Alloa Athletic
Win	2 2 6	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	50%	71%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	60%
Win by being a favorite	0%	57%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	38%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	25%	33%
Win by being an outsider	25%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	70% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	0%
2nd half	30%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Oliver Shaw	40% (4/10)	20% (2/10)	Calum Waters
Kyle MacDonald	30% (3/10)	25% (2/8)	Luke Donnelly
Kevin O'Hara	20% (2/10)	13% (1/8)	Calum Adamson
Stuart McKinstry	10% (1/10)	20% (1/5)	Kurtis Roberts
Ewan Simpson	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Scott Taggart
Tony Gallacher	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Cameron O'Donnell
Zander Hutton	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Kalvin Orsi
		10% (1/10)	Owen Foster

Total goals per player

	1	2
Oliver Shaw	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	⚽⚽2	Luke Donnelly
Kyle MacDonald	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Calum Waters
Tony Gallacher	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Calum Adamson
Kevin O'Hara	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Cameron O'Donnell
Zander Hutton	⚽1	⚽1	Kalvin Orsi
Ewan Simpson	⚽1	⚽1	Owen Foster
Stuart McKinstry	⚽1	⚽1	Kurtis Roberts
		⚽1	Scott Taggart

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	90%
1.5	40%	60%
2.5	30%	30%
3.5	20%	10%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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