Hamilton Academical - Alloa Athletic: our prediction
11/04/2026•16:00
Hamilton Academical
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
Alloa Athletic
-
1
-
X
-
2
Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic Preview — League One
Hamilton Academical hosts Alloa Athletic in League One. Alloa is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.28, but Hamilton is playing at home. Over the last 10 matches, Alloa shows better form (5W, 2D, 3L) compared to Hamilton (2W, 2D, 6L). Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with goals.
Our Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic predictions
Over 1.5 goals in the match
Over the last 10 matches, Hamilton has seen over 1.5 goals in 70% of its matches (7/10) and Alloa in 90% (9/10). Both teams have defensive difficulties (Hamilton: 8/10 matches without a clean sheet; Alloa: 7/10). Alloa's attack is more prolific (higher goal average). A match with at least 2 goals is very likely.
1.22
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Hamilton has scored in 6/10 of its last matches and conceded in 8/10. Alloa has scored in all of its last 10 matches (10/10) and conceded in 7/10. The 'Both Teams to Score' statistics are 40% for Hamilton (4/10) and 70% for Alloa (7/10). Alloa's strong attack and Hamilton's fragile defense, combined with Hamilton's ability to score at home, make this scenario plausible.
1.62
Confidence
Medium
Alloa Athletic to win
Alloa is the designated favorite (odds 2.28). Over the last 10 matches, Alloa has 5 wins (50%) compared to only 2 for Hamilton (20%). Alloa also has a better performance as a favorite (4 wins in 7 matches where it was favorite). However, Hamilton is playing at home and has won 2 of its last 10 matches. Confidence is low due to Hamilton's home advantage and its ability to surprise.
2.3
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 2 6 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 60% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 38% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 70% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 0% |
2nd half | 30% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Shaw | 40% (4/10) | 20% (2/10) | Calum Waters |
| Kyle MacDonald | 30% (3/10) | 25% (2/8) | Luke Donnelly |
| Kevin O'Hara | 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) | Calum Adamson |
| Stuart McKinstry | 10% (1/10) | 20% (1/5) | Kurtis Roberts |
| Ewan Simpson | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Scott Taggart |
| Tony Gallacher | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Cameron O'Donnell |
| Zander Hutton | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Kalvin Orsi |
10% (1/10) | Owen Foster |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Shaw | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽2 | Luke Donnelly |
| Kyle MacDonald | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Calum Waters |
| Tony Gallacher | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Calum Adamson |
| Kevin O'Hara | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Cameron O'Donnell |
| Zander Hutton | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kalvin Orsi |
| Ewan Simpson | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Owen Foster |
| Stuart McKinstry | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kurtis Roberts |
⚽1 | Scott Taggart |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 90% |
1.5 | 40% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 30% |
3.5 | 20% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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