AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town: our prediction
06/04/2026•16:00
AFC Wimbledon
0:3
(0:1)
Finished
Luton Town
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1
-
X
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2
AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Town Preview — League One
AFC Wimbledon hosts Luton Town in League One. Luton Town is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.16. In their last 10 matches, Wimbledon has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while Luton Town has 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss. Recent statistics show an offensive trend from both sides.
Our AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Town predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Wimbledon has seen both teams score in 60% of cases (6/10), while Luton Town has a rate of 100% (10/10). Wimbledon's defense has kept a clean sheet only once, and Luton Town's zero times. With active attacks (Wimbledon: 7 matches with over 1.5 goals; Luton: 10 matches with over 1.5 goals), it is likely that each team finds the back of the net.
1.75
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
Both teams have a 60% rate for matches with over 2.5 goals in their last 10 matches (6/10 each). Wimbledon has scored at least one goal in 70% of its matches (parou05) and Luton Town in 100% of its matches. The offensive trend is strong, and the weak defenses (rare clean sheet) support a scenario with at least 3 goals.
1.91
Confidence
High
Luton Town to win
Luton Town is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.16) and shows superior form with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss in the last 10 matches, compared to 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses for Wimbledon. Additionally, Luton Town has won 4 out of 7 times as favorite, showing an ability to live up to this status. However, Wimbledon at home can resist, hence medium confidence.
1.95
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Town
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Town Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 2 5 | 5 4 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 100% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 100% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Smith | 11% (1/9) | 50% (5/10) | Kasey Palmer |
| Ryan Johnson | 14% (1/7) | 43% (3/7) | Jordan Clark |
| Junior Nkeng | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Emilio Lawrence |
| Antwoine Hackford | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Shayden Morris |
20% (2/10) | Jake Richards | ||
25% (2/8) | Nahki Wells | ||
22% (2/9) | Hakeem Odoffin | ||
11% (1/9) | Liam Walsh | ||
10% (1/10) | Kal Naismith | ||
13% (1/8) | Ali Al Hamadi |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Nkeng | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Kasey Palmer |
| Ryan Johnson | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Nahki Wells |
| Alistair Smith | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jordan Clark |
| Antwoine Hackford | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Shayden Morris |
⚽⚽2 | Emilio Lawrence | ||
⚽⚽2 | Hakeem Odoffin | ||
⚽⚽2 | Jake Richards | ||
⚽1 | Ali Al Hamadi | ||
⚽1 | Liam Walsh | ||
⚽1 | Kal Naismith |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 90% |
1.5 | 40% | 50% |
2.5 | 10% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
AFC Wimbledon
5-3-2CoachJohnnie Jackson
Starting XI
Substitutes
Luton Town
3-4-2-1CoachJack Wilshere
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Lincoln City | 67%(31/46) |
| 2 |  | Cardiff City | 59%(27/46) |
| 3 |  | Stockport County | 49%(24/49) |
| 4 |  | Plymouth Argyle | 48%(22/46) |
| 5 |  | Bradford City | 46%(22/48) |
| 6 |  | Bolton Wanderers | 45%(22/49) |
| 7 | | Luton Town | 46%(21/46) |
| 8 |  | Stevenage | 44%(21/48) |
| 9 |  | Huddersfield Town | 39%(18/46) |
| 10 |  | Doncaster Rovers | 37%(17/46) |
| 11 |  | Wycombe Wanderers | 37%(17/46) |
| 12 |  | Blackpool | 37%(17/46) |
| 13 |  | Reading | 35%(16/46) |
| 14 |  | Mansfield Town | 35%(16/46) |
| 15 |  | AFC Wimbledon | 33%(15/46) |
| 16 |  | Barnsley | 33%(15/46) |
| 17 |  | Peterborough United | 33%(15/46) |
| 18 |  | Leyton Orient | 30%(14/46) |
| 19 |  | Wigan Athletic | 30%(14/46) |
| 20 |  | Burton Albion | 28%(13/46) |
| 21 |  | Exeter City | 26%(12/46) |
| 22 |  | Rotherham United | 22%(10/46) |
| 23 |  | Port Vale | 22%(10/46) |
| 24 |  | Northampton Town | 20%(9/46) |
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