Plymouth Argyle - Exeter City: our prediction
11/04/2026•13:30
Plymouth Argyle
2:2
(0:0)
Finished
Exeter City
-
1
-
X
-
2
Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City Preview — League One
Plymouth Argyle, the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.57, hosts Exeter City. In their last 10 matches, Plymouth has won 6 times with a 60% success rate as favorite, while Exeter has won only once and suffered 7 defeats. Statistics suggest a match with goals, with Plymouth showing a strong trend for over 2.5 goals.
Our Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City predictions
Plymouth Argyle Win
Plymouth Argyle is clearly favored (odds 1.57) and shows solid home form with 6 wins in the last 10 matches. Their 60% success rate as favorite (5/8) is convincing. Exeter City, struggling with only 1 win in 10 and 7 defeats, appears vulnerable away. The lack of information on major injuries reinforces confidence in a home win.
1.4
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Plymouth's offensive statistics are strong: over 2.5 goals achieved in 8 of their last 10 matches (80%). Exeter, although less offensively performant (over 2.5 goals at 50%), has a defense that regularly concedes (7 defeats/10). Plymouth scores frequently (9/10 matches with over 0.5 goals for the team) and Exeter has scored in 5 of its last 10 matches. The combination suggests a match with 3 or more goals.
1.47
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Plymouth has seen both teams score in 6 of its last 10 matches. Exeter, less prolific, achieved this scenario in 4/10 matches. Plymouth's defense is not impenetrable (3 clean sheets/10), and Exeter has scored in half of its recent matches. Although Plymouth is favored to win, the offensive trend of both teams and Plymouth's occasional defensive vulnerability allow for goals from both sides to be considered.
1.67
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 1 3 | 1 2 7 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 63% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 63% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 13% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 13% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 13% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorent Tolaj | 57% (4/7) | 30% (3/10) | Reece Cole |
| Aribim Pepple | 38% (3/8) | 22% (2/9) | Josh Magennis |
| Alexander Mitchell | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Ilmari Niskanen |
| Malachi Boateng | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Jayden Wareham |
| Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu | 33% (2/6) | 11% (1/9) | Timur Tuterov |
| Owen Oseni | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Jack Bycroft |
| Ronan Curtis | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Mathias Ross | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Owen Dale | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Caleb Watts | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aribim Pepple | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jayden Wareham |
| Lorent Tolaj | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Reece Cole |
| Owen Oseni | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Ilmari Niskanen |
| Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Josh Magennis |
| Alexander Mitchell | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jack Bycroft |
| Malachi Boateng | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Timur Tuterov |
| Mathias Ross | ⚽1 | ||
| Owen Dale | ⚽1 | ||
| Caleb Watts | ⚽1 | ||
| Ronan Curtis | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 80% | 50% |
2.5 | 60% | 10% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 20% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Plymouth Argyle
4-4-2CoachTom Cleverley
Starting XI
Substitutes
Exeter City
4-2-3-1CoachMatt Taylor
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Lincoln City | 67%(31/46) |
| 2 |  | Cardiff City | 59%(27/46) |
| 3 |  | Stockport County | 49%(24/49) |
| 4 | | Plymouth Argyle | 48%(22/46) |
| 5 |  | Bradford City | 46%(22/48) |
| 6 |  | Bolton Wanderers | 45%(22/49) |
| 7 |  | Luton Town | 46%(21/46) |
| 8 |  | Stevenage | 44%(21/48) |
| 9 |  | Huddersfield Town | 39%(18/46) |
| 10 |  | Doncaster Rovers | 37%(17/46) |
| 11 |  | Wycombe Wanderers | 37%(17/46) |
| 12 |  | Blackpool | 37%(17/46) |
| 13 |  | Reading | 35%(16/46) |
| 14 |  | Mansfield Town | 35%(16/46) |
| 15 |  | AFC Wimbledon | 33%(15/46) |
| 16 |  | Barnsley | 33%(15/46) |
| 17 |  | Peterborough United | 33%(15/46) |
| 18 |  | Leyton Orient | 30%(14/46) |
| 19 |  | Wigan Athletic | 30%(14/46) |
| 20 |  | Burton Albion | 28%(13/46) |
| 21 | | Exeter City | 26%(12/46) |
| 22 |  | Rotherham United | 22%(10/46) |
| 23 |  | Port Vale | 22%(10/46) |
| 24 |  | Northampton Town | 20%(9/46) |
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