Newport County vs Shrewsbury Town — Prediction
28/03/2026•16:00
Newport County
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
Shrewsbury Town
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Newport County hosts Shrewsbury Town in League Two. Newport, the bookmakers' favorite, shows mixed form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses in their last 10 matches. Shrewsbury, away from home, has a stronger record with 6 wins out of 10. Both teams score in 50% of their respective matches. No information on major absences was found.
Our predictions
Shrewsbury Town Win
Shrewsbury Town displays significantly better form with 6 wins in their last 10 matches (60%), compared to only 3 for Newport County (30%). Newport, although favored at home, has lost 60% of their recent matches. Shrewsbury has won 5 of their last 7 matches as an outsider. No reported major absences contradict this dynamic.
2.97
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals in the Match
The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet has occurred in 50% of Newport's recent matches (5/10) and 60% of Shrewsbury's (6/10). Shrewsbury's offensive tendency (6 wins) and Newport's defensive fragility (1 clean sheet in 10) suggest an open match. The combined probability and team dynamics justify this bet with medium confidence.
2.13
Confidence
Medium
Both Teams to Score
Statistics show both teams score in exactly 50% of their respective last 10 matches (5/10 each). Newport County has kept a clean sheet in only 10% of matches (1/10), and Shrewsbury in 20% (2/10). The defenses are therefore permeable. Shrewsbury's attack (6 wins) and the fact that Newport scores in 90% of matches (Over 0.5 goals) support this scenario.
1.85
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 1 6 | 6 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 71% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 22% | 71% |
Win by being an outsider | 22% | 71% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 10% |
2nd half | 70% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Kamwa | 25% (2/8) | 33% (3/9) | Iwan Morgan |
| Cameron Evans | 10% (1/10) | 20% (1/5) | Luca Hoole |
| Michael Spellman | 14% (1/7) | 11% (1/9) | Trey Samuel-Ogunsuyi |
| Harrison Biggins | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Sam Stubbs |
| Ryan Delaney | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Taylor Perry |
| Ben Lloyd | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | George Lloyd |
| Lee Jenkins | 25% (1/4) | 10% (1/10) | William Boyle |
| James Crole | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Tom Sang |
| Nathaniel Opoku | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Nick Freeman |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Kamwa | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Iwan Morgan |
| Michael Spellman | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Trey Samuel-Ogunsuyi |
| Ryan Delaney | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Taylor Perry |
| Lee Jenkins | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tom Sang |
| Nathaniel Opoku | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nick Freeman |
| Cameron Evans | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Luca Hoole |
| James Crole | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | George Lloyd |
| Ben Lloyd | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | William Boyle |
| Harrison Biggins | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sam Stubbs |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 80% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 70% |
1.5 | 60% | 40% |
2.5 | 20% | 10% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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