Swindon Town vs Fleetwood Town — Prediction
28/03/2026•16:00
Swindon Town
1:1
(1:0)
Finished
Fleetwood Town
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Swindon Town hosts Fleetwood Town in League Two. Swindon is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.02. In their last 10 matches, Swindon has won 5 times, drawn 2 times, and lost 3 times. Fleetwood has won 4 times, drawn 5 times, and lost once. The 'Both teams to score' bet occurred 6 times for Swindon and 4 times for Fleetwood. 'Over 2.5 goals' occurred 6 times for Swindon and 2 times for Fleetwood.
Our predictions
Swindon Town Win
Swindon Town is clearly the favorite at home (odds 2.02). Over the last 10 matches, they have a solid record (5W, 2D, 3L) against Fleetwood (4W, 5D, 1L). Swindon has a more prolific attack (6 times 'Over 2.5' vs 2 for Fleetwood) and plays at home. Fleetwood, although solid with 5 draws, struggles to win away. No information on major absences was found.
2.02
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
The statistics from the last 10 matches support this bet. For Swindon at home, 'Both teams to score' occurred in 6/10 matches (60%). For Fleetwood away, it's 4/10 (40%). Swindon scored at least one goal in 9/10 recent matches ('Over 1.5' for the team). Fleetwood scored in 7/10 ('Parou 0.5'). The defenses are not impenetrable: Swindon kept a clean sheet only 4 times, Fleetwood 5 times. A 2-1 or 1-1 scenario is likely.
1.72
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
This bet is mainly driven by Swindon's offensive performance. In their last 10 matches, 'Over 2.5 goals' occurred 6 times (60%). For Fleetwood away, it's only 2/10 (20%). However, the combination of Swindon's home attack (which scores regularly) and a Fleetwood capable of scoring away (7/10) can generate a match with 3 or more goals. The 'Under 2.5' statistic for Fleetwood (8/10) calls for caution, hence medium confidence.
1.88
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | 5 2 3 | 4 5 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 43% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 80% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 40% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 0% | 20% |
2nd half | 80% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Clarke | 29% (2/7) | 40% (4/10) | Mark Helm |
| Billy Bodin | 33% (2/6) | 10% (1/10) | Detlef Osong |
| Aaron Drinan | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Crispin McLean |
| Fletcher Holman | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Ched Evans |
| Michael Olakigbe | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Shaun Rooney |
| Junior Hoilett | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Billy Kirkman | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Ollie Palmer | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Clarke | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Mark Helm |
| Fletcher Holman | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Detlef Osong |
| Billy Bodin | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Shaun Rooney |
| Aaron Drinan | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Crispin McLean |
| Michael Olakigbe | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ched Evans |
| Ollie Palmer | ⚽1 | ||
| Billy Kirkman | ⚽1 | ||
| Junior Hoilett | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 90% |
1.5 | 40% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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