Jong PSV - Jong Ajax: our prediction
17/04/2026•20:00
Jong PSV
0:1
(0:0)
Finished
Jong Ajax
-
1
-
X
-
2
Jong PSV vs Jong Ajax Preview — Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV hosts Jong Ajax in a Dutch reserve team derby. Jong PSV is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.76) despite recent mixed form (4W, 1D, 5L in last 10 matches). Jong Ajax shows similar form (4W, 1D, 5L) but performs better away. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with few goals.
Our Jong PSV vs Jong Ajax predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
The statistics from the last 10 matches are very clear: 70% of Jong PSV's matches ended with under 2.5 goals (7/10), Jong Ajax 40% (4/10). Both teams have unprolific attacks (Jong PSV: 3 clean sheets against, Jong Ajax: 3 clean sheets against) and reserve team matches are often tight. The 'under25' indicator is the strongest in the JSON.
3.4
Confidence
High
Jong PSV scores under 1.5 goals
The 'underparou15' indicator for Jong PSV is very strong: 70% success rate over the last 10 matches (7/10). Jong PSV scored more than one goal in only 3 of its last 10 matches. Its attack, led by Bouhoudane, Jones, and Koller (3 goals each), is not explosive. Facing a Jong Ajax defense that conceded in 7 out of 10 matches, it is likely that Jong PSV scores 0 or 1 goal. This bet is consistent with 'under25' and 'victoir' (typical score 1-0).
1.3
Confidence
High
Jong PSV to Win
Jong PSV is clearly designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds 1.76 vs 3.6 for Jong Ajax). Over the last 10 matches, both teams have an identical record (4 wins). However, Jong PSV is playing at home and the 'nepredpasfav' indicator shows it does not lose when favored (1/1). Jong Ajax, on the other hand, lost 2 out of 2 times when it was favored. Home advantage and favorite status justify this bet, despite similar overall form.
1.62
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Jong PSV vs Jong Ajax
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Jong PSV vs Jong Ajax Statistics
Win
Win | 4 1 5 | 4 1 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 44% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 38% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 38% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sami Bouhoudane | 30% (3/10) | 33% (3/9) | Don O'Niel |
| Austyn Jones | 25% (2/8) | 30% (3/10) | Skye Vink |
| Joel van den Berg | 14% (1/7) | 20% (2/10) | Pharell Nash |
| Fabio Kluit | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Abdellah Ouazane |
13% (1/8) | Tijn Peters | ||
50% (1/2) | Paulo Da Silva | ||
10% (1/10) | Lucas Jetten | ||
10% (1/10) | David Kalokoh | ||
13% (1/8) | Zakaria Ouazane |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sami Bouhoudane | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Skye Vink |
| Austyn Jones | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Don O'Niel |
| Fabio Kluit | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Abdellah Ouazane |
| Joel van den Berg | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Pharell Nash |
⚽1 | Lucas Jetten | ||
⚽1 | Paulo Da Silva | ||
⚽1 | Tijn Peters | ||
⚽1 | Zakaria Ouazane | ||
⚽1 | David Kalokoh |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 20% | 40% |
2.5 | 10% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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