Rugby

Tennis

Willem II - Jong AZ Alkmaar: our prediction

17/04/2026•20:00

Willem II

3:0

(2:0)

Finished

Jong AZ Alkmaar

Willem II vs Jong AZ Alkmaar Preview — Eerste Divisie

Willem II, the home favorite, faces Jong AZ Alkmaar. Recent statistics show a clear superiority for Willem II, with 7 wins in their last 10 matches, compared to only 3 for Jong AZ. Willem II's defense is solid (5 clean sheets), while Jong AZ regularly concedes. No information on major absences was found.

Our Willem II vs Jong AZ Alkmaar predictions

Willem II to Win

Willem II is the clear bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.57). In their last 10 matches, they have won 7 times (70%) and lost only twice. At home, their success rate as favorites is 75% (6 wins in 8 matches). Jong AZ Alkmaar has much weaker form (3 wins/10) and a less solid defense (only 2 clean sheets/10). Home advantage and recent form strongly favor a Willem II victory.

1.53

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Goals

Analysis of the last 10 matches shows Willem II had under 2.5 goals in 5 of their matches (50%). Jong AZ Alkmaar recorded this scenario in 4 of their last 10 matches (40%). Willem II has a solid defense (5 clean sheets) and Jong AZ struggles to score regularly (only 3 'Both Teams to Score' occurrences in 10 matches). A controlled Willem II victory, potentially 2-0 or 1-0, is a likely scenario, which aligns with 'Under 2.5 Goals'.

3.08

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Willem II vs Jong AZ Alkmaar

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Willem II vs Jong AZ Alkmaar Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Willem II	Jong AZ Alkmaar
Win	7 1 2	3 2 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	88%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	75%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	75%	50%
Win by being a favorite	75%	25%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	50%	33%
Win by being an outsider	50%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	50% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	70% 30%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	60%	30%
2nd half	30%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	100%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Nick Doodeman	30% (3/10)	50% (4/8)	Bendeguz Kovacs
Devin Haen	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Yoel van den Ban
Mounir El Allouchi	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Anthony Smits
Finn Stam	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Frej Elkjaer Andersen
Siegert Baartmans	20% (2/10)	20% (1/5)	Jasper Hartog
Samuel Bamba	10% (1/10)	50% (1/2)	Ayoub Oufkir
Thomas Didillon	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Jesper Zwart
Thomas Verheijdt	10% (1/10)	17% (1/6)	Hessel de Wit
Uriel van Aalst	11% (1/9)	33% (1/3)	Matej Sin
Justin Hoogma	11% (1/9)
Calvin Twigt	13% (1/8)
Amine Et Taibi	17% (1/6)
Armin Culum	10% (1/10)
Per van Loon	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Nick Doodeman	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Bendeguz Kovacs
Mounir El Allouchi	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Frej Elkjaer Andersen
Finn Stam	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Jesper Zwart
Siegert Baartmans	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Matej Sin
Devin Haen	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Jasper Hartog
Per van Loon	⚽1	⚽1	Hessel de Wit
Uriel van Aalst	⚽1	⚽1	Ayoub Oufkir
Calvin Twigt	⚽1	⚽1	Yoel van den Ban
Samuel Bamba	⚽1	⚽1	Anthony Smits
Thomas Didillon	⚽1
Justin Hoogma	⚽1
Thomas Verheijdt	⚽1
Amine Et Taibi	⚽1
Armin Culum	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	100%
Over corners 7.5	90%	90%
Over corners 8.5	80%	60%
Over corners 9.5	80%	50%
Over corners 10.5	70%	50%
Over corners 11.5	40%	40%
Over corners 12.5	20%	40%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	60%
Over corners 3.5	80%	60%
Over corners 4.5	60%	60%
Over corners 5.5	60%	50%
Over corners 6.5	40%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	60%
1.5	20%	30%
2.5	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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