Willem II - Jong AZ Alkmaar: our prediction
17/04/2026•20:00
Willem II
3:0
(2:0)
Finished
Jong AZ Alkmaar
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1
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X
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2
Willem II vs Jong AZ Alkmaar Preview — Eerste Divisie
Willem II, the home favorite, faces Jong AZ Alkmaar. Recent statistics show a clear superiority for Willem II, with 7 wins in their last 10 matches, compared to only 3 for Jong AZ. Willem II's defense is solid (5 clean sheets), while Jong AZ regularly concedes. No information on major absences was found.
Our Willem II vs Jong AZ Alkmaar predictions
Willem II to Win
Willem II is the clear bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.57). In their last 10 matches, they have won 7 times (70%) and lost only twice. At home, their success rate as favorites is 75% (6 wins in 8 matches). Jong AZ Alkmaar has much weaker form (3 wins/10) and a less solid defense (only 2 clean sheets/10). Home advantage and recent form strongly favor a Willem II victory.
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Goals
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows Willem II had under 2.5 goals in 5 of their matches (50%). Jong AZ Alkmaar recorded this scenario in 4 of their last 10 matches (40%). Willem II has a solid defense (5 clean sheets) and Jong AZ struggles to score regularly (only 3 'Both Teams to Score' occurrences in 10 matches). A controlled Willem II victory, potentially 2-0 or 1-0, is a likely scenario, which aligns with 'Under 2.5 Goals'.
3.08
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Willem II vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Willem II vs Jong AZ Alkmaar Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 1 2 | 3 2 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 88% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 25% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 50% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Doodeman | 30% (3/10) | 50% (4/8) | Bendeguz Kovacs |
| Devin Haen | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Yoel van den Ban |
| Mounir El Allouchi | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Anthony Smits |
| Finn Stam | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Frej Elkjaer Andersen |
| Siegert Baartmans | 20% (2/10) | 20% (1/5) | Jasper Hartog |
| Samuel Bamba | 10% (1/10) | 50% (1/2) | Ayoub Oufkir |
| Thomas Didillon | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Jesper Zwart |
| Thomas Verheijdt | 10% (1/10) | 17% (1/6) | Hessel de Wit |
| Uriel van Aalst | 11% (1/9) | 33% (1/3) | Matej Sin |
| Justin Hoogma | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Calvin Twigt | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Amine Et Taibi | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Armin Culum | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Per van Loon | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Doodeman | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Bendeguz Kovacs |
| Mounir El Allouchi | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Frej Elkjaer Andersen |
| Finn Stam | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jesper Zwart |
| Siegert Baartmans | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Matej Sin |
| Devin Haen | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jasper Hartog |
| Per van Loon | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Hessel de Wit |
| Uriel van Aalst | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ayoub Oufkir |
| Calvin Twigt | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Yoel van den Ban |
| Samuel Bamba | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Anthony Smits |
| Thomas Didillon | ⚽1 | ||
| Justin Hoogma | ⚽1 | ||
| Thomas Verheijdt | ⚽1 | ||
| Amine Et Taibi | ⚽1 | ||
| Armin Culum | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 60% |
1.5 | 20% | 30% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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