FC Koeln - Borussia Dortmund: our prediction
07/03/2026•18:30
FC Koeln
1:2
(0:1)
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
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1
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X
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2
FC Koeln vs Borussia Dortmund Preview — Bundesliga
FC Cologne, struggling at home, faces Borussia Dortmund, the bookmakers' favorite. Cologne has a fragile defense (80% of matches with over 2.5 goals), while Dortmund shows an effective attack but sometimes vulnerable defense (50% of matches with goals from both sides).
Our FC Koeln vs Borussia Dortmund predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Cologne recorded over 2.5 goals in 80% of its matches, and Dortmund in 70%. Cologne has a weak defense (9 out of 10 matches without a clean sheet) and Dortmund a strong attack (Serhou Guirassy, 6 goals). The goal trend is strong.
1.54
Confidence
High
Both teams score
Cologne saw both teams score in 80% of its last 10 matches. Dortmund has a defense that often concedes (only 3 clean sheets out of 10). Cologne, at home, should find the net against a Dortmund defense that is not always solid, while Dortmund's attack is effective.
1.53
Confidence
High
Dortmund scores over 1.5 goals
Dortmund scored over 1.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches. Against Cologne's fragile defense (only 1 clean sheet out of 10), and with in-form attackers like Guirassy (6 goals) and Beier (3 goals), Dortmund has a good chance of scoring at least two goals.
1.6
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on FC Koeln vs Borussia Dortmund
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
FC Koeln vs Borussia Dortmund Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 2 5 | 5 1 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 83% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 17% | 25% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 80% 20% | 50% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Said El Mala | 50% (5/10) | 60% (6/10) | Serhou Guirassy |
| Marius Buelter | 20% (2/10) | 33% (2/6) | Ramy Bensebaini |
| Gian-Luca Waldschmidt | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Maximilian Beier |
| Jakub Kaminski | 20% (2/10) | 33% (2/6) | Karim Adeyemi |
| Ragnar Ache | 33% (2/6) | 10% (1/10) | Julian Brandt |
| Eric Martel | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Nico Schlotterbeck |
| Alessio Castro-Montes | 14% (1/7) | 11% (1/9) | Yan Couto |
11% (1/9) | Samuele Inacio | ||
11% (1/9) | Luca Reggiani | ||
10% (1/10) | Fabio Silva |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Said El Mala | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Serhou Guirassy |
| Ragnar Ache | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Ramy Bensebaini |
| Gian-Luca Waldschmidt | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Karim Adeyemi |
| Jakub Kaminski | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Maximilian Beier |
| Marius Buelter | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Luca Reggiani |
| Eric Martel | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Fabio Silva |
| Alessio Castro-Montes | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Samuele Inacio |
⚽1 | Julian Brandt | ||
⚽1 | Nico Schlotterbeck | ||
⚽1 | Yan Couto |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 100% |
1.5 | 20% | 50% |
2.5 | 10% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
FC Koeln
4-2-3-1CoachLukas Kwasniok
Starting XI
Substitutes
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1CoachNiko Kovac
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Bayern Munich | 82%(28/34) |
| 2 | | Borussia Dortmund | 65%(22/34) |
| 3 |  | RB Leipzig | 59%(20/34) |
| 4 |  | Bayer Leverkusen | 53%(18/34) |
| 5 |  | VfB Stuttgart | 53%(18/34) |
| 6 |  | Hoffenheim | 53%(18/34) |
| 7 |  | Freiburg | 38%(13/34) |
| 8 |  | Augsburg | 35%(12/34) |
| 9 |  | Eintracht Frankfurt | 32%(11/34) |
| 10 |  | Union Berlin | 29%(10/34) |
| 11 |  | Mainz 05 | 29%(10/34) |
| 12 |  | Hamburger SV | 26%(9/34) |
| 13 |  | Borussia Moenchengladbach | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Werder Bremen | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Wolfsburg | 21%(7/34) |
| 16 | | FC Koeln | 21%(7/34) |
| 17 |  | FC Heidenheim | 18%(6/34) |
| 18 |  | St. Pauli | 18%(6/34) |
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