VfB Stuttgart - Hamburger SV: our prediction
12/04/2026•17:30
VfB Stuttgart
4:0
(2:0)
Finished
Hamburger SV
-
1
-
X
-
2
VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV Preview — Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart, the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.36, hosts Hamburger SV. Stuttgart shows mixed form with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 matches, while Hamburger SV presents a more defensive profile with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses. Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match despite the home team's favorite status.
Our VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV predictions
VfB Stuttgart Win
VfB Stuttgart is clearly favored (odds 1.36) and plays at home. In the last 10 matches, Stuttgart has won 40% of its encounters (4/10), but its attack is active with 8 out of 10 matches seeing over 1.5 goals scored. Hamburger SV, on the other hand, has conceded at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%), showing a vulnerable defense. Although Stuttgart's form is irregular, its favorite status at home and Hamburg's ineffective attack (only 3 wins in 10) lean towards a home victory.
1.29
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
The statistics from the last 10 matches strongly support this scenario. Hamburger SV has scored in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%), demonstrating regular offensive capability. Stuttgart has scored in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). Furthermore, Stuttgart has kept a clean sheet only 2 times out of 10 (20%), while Hamburger SV has done so only once (10%). With unreliable defenses on both sides and capable attacks, it is likely that each team will find the back of the net.
1.6
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows a mixed signal. Stuttgart has seen over 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%), indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. Hamburger SV presents a lower profile with only 5 matches out of 10 (50%) exceeding 2.5 goals. However, the combination of Stuttgart's active attack (8 matches out of 10 with over 1.5 goals) and Hamburg's permeable defense (9 matches out of 10 with at least one goal conceded) creates an environment conducive to multiple goals. The 'Both Teams to Score' bet also reinforces this possibility.
1.33
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 3 4 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 60% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 44% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 17% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 80% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ermedin Demirovic | 40% (4/10) | 30% (3/10) | Fabio Vieira |
| Deniz Undav | 33% (3/9) | 29% (2/7) | Luka Vuskovic |
| Chris Fuehrich | 30% (3/10) | 29% (2/7) | Robert Glatzel |
| Nikolas Nartey | 20% (2/10) | 14% (1/7) | Fabio Balde |
| Maximilian Mittelstaedt | 20% (2/10) | 14% (1/7) | Jean-Luc Dompe |
| Chema Andres | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Ransford-Yeboah Koenigsdoerffer |
| Tiago Tomas | 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) | Albert Groenbaek |
| Angelo Stiller | 10% (1/10) | 20% (1/5) | Bakery Jatta |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Philip Otele |
13% (1/8) | Albert Sambi Lokonga |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Deniz Undav | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Fabio Vieira |
| Ermedin Demirovic | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Robert Glatzel |
| Chris Fuehrich | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Luka Vuskovic |
| Nikolas Nartey | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Philip Otele |
| Tiago Tomas | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Albert Groenbaek |
| Maximilian Mittelstaedt | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Bakery Jatta |
| Chema Andres | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jean-Luc Dompe |
| Angelo Stiller | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ransford-Yeboah Koenigsdoerffer |
| Bilal El Khannouss | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Fabio Balde |
⚽1 | Albert Sambi Lokonga |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 100% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 100% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 60% | 90% |
2.5 | 30% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart
4-2-3-1CoachSebastian Hoeness
Starting XI
Substitutes
Hamburger SV
3-4-1-2CoachMerlin Polzin
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Bayern Munich | 82%(28/34) |
| 2 |  | Borussia Dortmund | 65%(22/34) |
| 3 |  | RB Leipzig | 59%(20/34) |
| 4 |  | Bayer Leverkusen | 53%(18/34) |
| 5 | | VfB Stuttgart | 53%(18/34) |
| 6 |  | Hoffenheim | 53%(18/34) |
| 7 |  | Freiburg | 38%(13/34) |
| 8 |  | Augsburg | 35%(12/34) |
| 9 |  | Eintracht Frankfurt | 32%(11/34) |
| 10 |  | Union Berlin | 29%(10/34) |
| 11 |  | Mainz 05 | 29%(10/34) |
| 12 | | Hamburger SV | 26%(9/34) |
| 13 |  | Borussia Moenchengladbach | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Werder Bremen | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Wolfsburg | 21%(7/34) |
| 16 |  | FC Koeln | 21%(7/34) |
| 17 |  | FC Heidenheim | 18%(6/34) |
| 18 |  | St. Pauli | 18%(6/34) |
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