Mainz 05 - Union Berlin: our prediction
10/05/2026•19:30
Mainz 05
1:3
(0:1)
Finished
Union Berlin
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Preview — Bundesliga
Mainz 05, the home favorite, faces Union Berlin. Mainz shows solid home form with 60% wins and a prolific attack (9/10 matches with over 1.5 goals). Union Berlin struggles away, with only 2 wins in their last 10 away games. Both teams tend to concede goals, making a match with goals from both sides likely.
Our Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin predictions
Over 1.5 goals in the match
This bet is very solid. Mainz 05 has seen over 1.5 goals in 90% of their last 10 matches, and Union Berlin in 70%. Furthermore, both teams have a strong tendency to concede goals (Mainz 70% and Union Berlin 80% of their matches with at least one goal conceded). Combined with Mainz's offensive quality at home, it is very likely to see at least 2 goals in this match.
1.12
Confidence
Very high
Both teams to score
Both teams have shown a strong tendency to score and concede goals. Mainz 05 has seen both teams score in 50% of their matches, while Union Berlin is at 60%. Furthermore, both teams have a low 'clean sheet' rate (Mainz 30%, Union Berlin 20%), meaning they struggle to keep a clean sheet. With Mainz's attack at home and Union's ability to score away (even if they lose), this bet has a high chance of success.
1.45
Confidence
High
Mainz 05 to win
Mainz 05 is the logical favorite. At home, they have a 60% win rate in their last 10 matches, with an attack that scores in 80% of these games. In contrast, Union Berlin struggles away, with only 20% wins and a defense that has conceded in 80% of their away games. The odds of 1.75 for a Mainz win are therefore very attractive.
1.67
Confidence
High
Market signals on Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 1 3 | 2 2 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 80% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 83% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 43% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 29% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 29% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Tietz | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Andrej Ilic |
| Paul Nebel | 20% (2/10) | 29% (2/7) | Woo-Yeong Jeong |
| Nadiem Amiri | 25% (2/8) | 20% (2/10) | Oliver Burke |
| Sheraldo Becker | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Livan Burcu |
| Dominik Kohr | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Andras Schafer |
| Kaishu Sano | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Danilho Doekhi |
| Stefan Posch | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Josip Juranovic |
| Phillipp Mwene | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Derrick Koehn |
11% (1/9) | Tom Rothe | ||
11% (1/9) | Leopold Querfeld |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Tietz | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Andrej Ilic |
| Paul Nebel | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Oliver Burke |
| Sheraldo Becker | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Woo-Yeong Jeong |
| Nadiem Amiri | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Derrick Koehn |
| Stefan Posch | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Livan Burcu |
| Dominik Kohr | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Leopold Querfeld |
| Kaishu Sano | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tom Rothe |
| Phillipp Mwene | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Danilho Doekhi |
⚽1 | Josip Juranovic | ||
⚽1 | Andras Schafer |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 50% | 60% |
2.5 | 20% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 20% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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