Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes — Prediction
22/04/2026
Paris Saint-Germain
19:00
Nantes
-
1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Paris Saint-Germain, clear favorite at home, faces Nantes. PSG shows solid form with 6 wins in the last 10 matches, while Nantes struggles with 7 defeats out of 10. PSG's offensive statistics and Nantes' weak defense suggest a Parisian victory with several goals.
Our predictions
Paris Saint-Germain Victory
PSG is the heavy favorite (odds 1.18). In the last 10 matches, they have won 6 times (60%) and lost only twice. At home, their attack is formidable (Over 2.5 goals in 80% of last 10 matches). Nantes, on the other hand, has suffered 7 defeats in 10 games (70%) and struggles to score away (Under 1.5 goals per team in 80%). No known major absences should disrupt Parisian superiority.
1.2
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
PSG's matches are very offensive: in the last 10 games, 8 exceeded 2.5 goals (80%). Their attack scores regularly (Over 1.5 goals per team at 60%) and their defense also concedes (BTTS at 70%). Nantes, although less prolific, sometimes contributes to the spectacle (BTTS at 50% in the last 10 matches). The historical trend and PSG's offensive momentum point to a match with over 2 goals.
1.35
Confidence
High
Paris Saint-Germain scores over 1.5 goals
PSG's attack is efficient: in the last 10 matches, they have scored more than 1.5 goals in 6 instances (60%). Facing a Nantes defense that often concedes (Clean Sheet only 20% of the time), the Parisians have the means to score at least two goals. Scorers like Barcola (4 goals), Dembélé (4), and Kvaratskhelia (4) are in form. Confidence is medium because Nantes can sometimes be solid, but the trend is favorable.
1.22
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 2 2 | 2 1 7 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 29% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 14% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 50% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Barcola | 56% (5/9) | 29% (2/7) | Matthis Abline |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 44% (4/9) | 17% (1/6) | Ignatius Ganago |
| Ousmane Dembele | 50% (3/6) | 14% (1/7) | Mostafa Mohamed |
| Desire Doue | 22% (2/9) | 17% (1/6) | Bahereba Guirassy |
| Achraf Hakimi | 13% (1/8) | 14% (1/7) | Fabien Centonze |
| Marquinhos | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Senny Mayulu | 20% (1/5) | ||
| Kang-In Lee | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Goncalo Ramos | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Vitinha | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Barcola | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽2 | Matthis Abline |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽1 | Bahereba Guirassy |
| Ousmane Dembele | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽1 | Fabien Centonze |
| Desire Doue | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Mostafa Mohamed |
| Achraf Hakimi | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ignatius Ganago |
| Marquinhos | ⚽1 | ||
| Senny Mayulu | ⚽1 | ||
| Goncalo Ramos | ⚽1 | ||
| Vitinha | ⚽1 | ||
| Kang-In Lee | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 90% |
1.5 | 10% | 60% |
2.5 | 0% | 40% |
3.5 | 0% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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