Lille vs Lens — Prediction
04/04/2026•21:05
Lille
3:0
(1:0)
Finished
Lens
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Lille hosts Lens in a very tight Northern derby. Lille is slightly favored by bookmakers with odds at 2.6 against 2.62 for Lens. Recent statistics show that Lens is more effective in attack, while Lille has a more solid defense. No information on major absences is available.
Our predictions
Lens scores at least 0.5 goals
Lens scored at least one goal in 100% of its last 10 matches (10/10). Its attack is very effective with players like Thauvin (6 goals) and Edouard (5 goals). Even against Lille's solid defense, which kept a clean sheet in 3 of its last 10 matches, Lens has every chance to score at least once.
1.25
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Lille recorded under 2.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Lens did the same in only 2 of its last 10 matches (20%), but its effective away attack could be contained by Lille's solid home defense. Overall statistics and the traditionally tight nature of Northern derbies support this bet.
1.94
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 6 2 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 86% | 78% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 33% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 43% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 40% 60% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 10% |
2nd half | 60% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 10% 90% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Giroud | 22% (2/9) | 44% (4/9) | Florian Thauvin |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo | 20% (2/10) | 30% (3/10) | Odsonne Edouard |
| Hakon Arnar Haraldsson | 10% (1/10) | 30% (3/10) | Rayan Fofana |
| Gaetan Perrin | 13% (1/8) | 22% (2/9) | Mamadou Sangare |
| Nathan Ngoy | 11% (1/9) | 20% (2/10) | Abdallah Sima |
20% (2/10) | Saud Abdulhamid | ||
40% (2/5) | Ruben Aguilar | ||
10% (1/10) | Amadou Haidara | ||
14% (1/7) | Wesley Said | ||
11% (1/9) | Andrija Bulatovic | ||
20% (1/5) | Allan Saint-Maximin | ||
10% (1/10) | Matthieu Udol | ||
10% (1/10) | Florian Sotoca |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Giroud | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Florian Thauvin |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Rayan Fofana |
| Nathan Ngoy | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Abdallah Sima |
| Gaetan Perrin | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Odsonne Edouard |
| Hakon Arnar Haraldsson | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Mamadou Sangare |
⚽⚽2 | Saud Abdulhamid | ||
⚽⚽2 | Ruben Aguilar | ||
⚽⚽2 | Wesley Said | ||
⚽1 | Allan Saint-Maximin | ||
⚽1 | Andrija Bulatovic | ||
⚽1 | Matthieu Udol | ||
⚽1 | Amadou Haidara | ||
⚽1 | Florian Sotoca |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 80% |
1.5 | 30% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 40% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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