Paris Saint Germain vs Toulouse — Prediction
03/04/2026•20:45
Paris Saint-Germain
3:1
(2:1)
Finished
Toulouse
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Paris Saint-Germain, the home favorite with odds at 1.28, faces Toulouse. Over the last 10 matches, PSG has won 70% of its encounters, while Toulouse has won 30% of its games. Statistics show a strong goal trend for PSG, with a 90% success rate for the 'Over 2.5 goals' bet in its matches.
Our predictions
Paris Saint-Germain Win
PSG, at home, shows solid form with 7 wins in its last 10 matches. Its attack is prolific (9/10 matches with over 2.5 goals). Toulouse, away, is less performant (3 wins/10) and its defense is vulnerable (7/10 matches with under 2.5 goals for them, but 9/10 with under 3.5 goals). The low odds reflect the clear superiority of the favorite. No information on major absences was found in the provided data.
1.27
Confidence
High
Paris Saint-Germain scores over 1.5 goals
PSG's attack is extremely efficient, scoring over 1.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches. At home, against a Toulouse defense that regularly concedes (only 3 clean sheets in 10), it is very likely that PSG scores at least two goals. This prediction is consistent with PSG's win and the bet on a high total number of goals.
1.34
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
PSG's matches are very offensive: 9 times out of 10, they exceeded the total of 2.5 goals. Even though Toulouse tends to play less prolific matches (7/10 with under 2.5 goals), PSG's offensive power at home and its ability to score multiple goals (7/10 with over 1.5 goals for PSG alone) push to favor a match with over 2.5 goals. The 'Both teams to score' statistic is realized only 50% of the time for PSG, which leaves room for a 3-0 scenario or similar, but the total goals should be high.
1.52
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 1 2 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 78% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 57% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 43% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 100% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 40% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 50% |
2nd half | 60% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 90% 10% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 60% 40% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Barcola | 63% (5/8) | 30% (3/10) | Yann Gboho |
| Ousmane Dembele | 43% (3/7) | 25% (2/8) | Aron Doennum |
| Desire Doue | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Djibril Sidibe |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 30% (3/10) | 20% (1/5) | Charlie Cresswell |
| Goncalo Ramos | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Rasmus Nicolaisen |
| Vitinha | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Pape Demba Diop |
| Achraf Hakimi | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Emersonn |
| Marquinhos | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Julian Vignolo |
| Warren Zaire-Emery | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Mario Sauer |
| Senny Mayulu | 20% (1/5) | ||
| Dro Fernandez | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Nuno Mendes | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Barcola | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Yann Gboho |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Djibril Sidibe |
| Desire Doue | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Aron Doennum |
| Ousmane Dembele | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽1 | Rasmus Nicolaisen |
| Goncalo Ramos | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Julian Vignolo |
| Vitinha | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Charlie Cresswell |
| Achraf Hakimi | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Pape Demba Diop |
| Senny Mayulu | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mario Sauer |
| Warren Zaire-Emery | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Emersonn |
| Nuno Mendes | ⚽1 | ||
| Marquinhos | ⚽1 | ||
| Dro Fernandez | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 50% | 100% |
1.5 | 10% | 60% |
2.5 | 0% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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