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Nantes - Brest: our prediction

19/04/2026•17:15

Nantes

1:1

(1:0)

Finished

Brest

Nantes vs Brest Preview — Ligue 1

Nantes hosts Brest in a Ligue 1 match. Nantes is a slight favorite with the bookmakers (odds 2.35) despite very disappointing recent form (1 win in the last 10 matches). Brest, in better form (4 wins in 10), performs well as an underdog. Recent statistics suggest a tight match with potentially few goals.

Our Nantes vs Brest predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

In the last 10 matches, Nantes had under 2.5 goals in 6 cases (60%), and Brest in 7 cases (70%). Both teams have recurring offensive difficulties (Nantes: 1 win/10, Brest: 4 wins/10 but often tight games). Brest's defense is solid (4 clean sheets/10). The 'Both Teams to Score' statistics are low (Nantes 40%, Brest 30%). A tactical and low-scoring match is likely.

1.67

Confidence

High

Nantes scores under 1.5 goals

Nantes' attack is very weak: only 2 matches out of 10 where they scored more than 1.5 goals (20%). They have not scored more than 1.5 goals in any of their last 3 home matches as favorites. Against a Brest defense that has kept 4 clean sheets in 10, it is very likely that Nantes scores at most one goal. This bet is consistent with the 'Under 2.5' and 'Draw' scenarios.

1.25

Confidence

High

Draw

Nantes is in very poor form (7 defeats/10) but plays at home. Brest is more performant but away. The draw statistics are 20% for each team over the last 10 matches. The contradictory dynamic (poor home form vs. good away form but not overwhelming) and the likelihood of a tight match with few goals (see bet 1) favor a draw scenario. The odds (3.25) offer good value.

3.2

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Nantes vs Brest

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nantes vs Brest Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Nantes	Brest
Win	1 2 7	4 2 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	100%
Win by being a favorite	33%	100%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	14%	43%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	14%
Win by being an outsider	0%	14%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	30% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	20%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Matthis Abline	20% (2/10)	22% (2/9)	Eric Ebimbe
Ignatius Ganago	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Romain Del Castillo
Dehmaine Tabibou	13% (1/8)	22% (2/9)	Ludovic Ajorque
Remy Cabella	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Lucas Tousart
Mostafa Mohamed	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Brendan Chardonnet
		13% (1/8)	Daouda Guindo
		11% (1/9)	Remy Lascary

Total goals per player

	1	2
Ignatius Ganago	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Eric Ebimbe
Matthis Abline	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Romain Del Castillo
Mostafa Mohamed	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Ludovic Ajorque
Dehmaine Tabibou	⚽1	⚽1	Remy Lascary
Remy Cabella	⚽1	⚽1	Lucas Tousart
		⚽1	Brendan Chardonnet
		⚽1	Daouda Guindo

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	70%
Over corners 7.5	50%	70%
Over corners 8.5	50%	70%
Over corners 9.5	20%	60%
Over corners 10.5	20%	50%
Over corners 11.5	10%	30%
Over corners 12.5	0%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	80%
Over corners 3.5	40%	40%
Over corners 4.5	20%	30%
Over corners 5.5	0%	20%
Over corners 6.5	0%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	100%
1.5	70%	70%
2.5	50%	30%
3.5	40%	10%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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